CENX Earnings

CENX reported its earnings on 2026-02-19, showcasing a revenue of 633.70M against an estimate of 737.90M, resulting in a -14.12% surprise. The EPS was 0.02, surpassing the expected 1.25 by -98.4%. The stock experienced a 0.27% price change on the earnings day and a 0.99% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following CENX's earnings announcement on 2026-02-19, the stock price moved by 0.27% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.99% change. Historically, CENX's stock price tends to shift by an average of 0.49% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 4.65% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate CENX's annual revenue to reach 728.00M, while the EPS is projected at 1.73. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between CENX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, CENX's stock price typically moves by 0.49% in the 10 days before its earnings and 4.65% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.73 and revenue of 728.00M.

The earnings call indicates strong financial performance, with increased net sales and adjusted EBITDA, despite a slight decrease in shipments. The strategic plans, including the Mt. Holly expansion and new smelter projects, are progressing well, suggesting future growth. The Q&A reveals a positive outlook on earnings power and capital allocation, with ongoing negotiations for favorable energy contracts. Although some uncertainties remain, such as the unspecified margin loss for Iceland, the overall sentiment is positive, anticipating increased demand and improved financial health.