The analyst rating for CHINA VANKE (02202.HK) from Morgan Stanley is Underweight due to several concerning factors. The company issued a profit warning indicating a much deeper core loss for 2025 than previously expected, with losses projected at RMB80 billion, which is about 40% of its equity attributable to shareholders. This significant loss is attributed to a sharp decline in revenue, pressure on gross profit margins, increased asset and credit impairments, and substantial losses from asset disposals. Additionally, the broker anticipates that the severe loss situation may continue due to ongoing sales declines and the company's potential adoption of more aggressive destocking and asset disposal strategies. Morgan Stanley believes that the likelihood of a fundamental turnaround in the company's medium-term operations and financing is extremely low, leading to their negative rating and a target price of RMB2.7.

Nomura

maintain

2026-01-30

Reason

Nomura

Price Target

2026-01-30

maintain

Reason

The analyst rating is influenced by the report indicating that several developers may be exempted from the 'Three Red Lines' disclosure requirements, which could suggest increased attention from Beijing on the struggling real estate sector and a reduction in concerns about developers' debt accumulation. However, Nomura believes this exemption is largely symbolic, as the restrictions have already been relaxed and are not strictly enforced. They maintain that this easing does not signify a substantial policy relaxation and uphold their view that Beijing will not allow the real estate sector to decline indefinitely.

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Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for (02202.HK) is -2.31, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 2.23. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess 's fair value, Click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

2.23

Current PE

-2.31

Overvalued PE

8.53

Undervalued PE

-4.06

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

89.58

Current EV/EBITDA

0.00

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

797.62

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

-618.47

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PS

0.36

Current PS

0.00

Overvalued PS

0.48

Undervalued PS

0.25

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is (02202) stock price today?

The current price of 02202 is 3.43 USD — it has decreased -2.83

What is (02202)'s business?

What is the price predicton of 02202 Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast 02202 stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for 02202 is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

What is (02202)'s revenue for the last quarter?

revenue for the last quarter amounts to NaN USD, decreased

What is (02202)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

. EPS for the last quarter amounts to USD, decreased

How many employees does (02202). have?

(02202) has 0 emplpoyees as of March 03 2026.

What is (02202) market cap?

Today 02202 has the market capitalization of 0.00 USD.

02202 Overview