<Research> Doubts Raised Over Authenticity of RMB80B Rescue Plan Report for CHINA VANKE (02202.HK)
Market Speculation: Octus reported unverified speculation that the Shenzhen government is planning an RMB80 billion rescue plan for CHINA VANKE, which includes an RMB20 billion share placement to prevent default.
Skepticism from JPMorgan: JPMorgan expressed doubts about the report's authenticity, noting that only one out of nine previous speculations about financial support has been accurate, and questioned the clarity of the RMB80 billion figure.
Default Concerns: Despite the central government's emphasis on avoiding defaults, JPMorgan highlighted that CHINA VANKE's potential default remains significant, especially since most private developers have already defaulted and CHINA VANKE holds only a 1% market share.
Bond Restructuring Outlook: JPMorgan suggested that a comprehensive bond restructuring might be a more viable solution, while anticipating a positive short-term reaction in CHINA VANKE's share price.
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Loan Applications: China Vanke's subsidiary Xi'an Yajian applied for a RMB140 million loan from United Overseas Bank (China) Limited, while TRADE ROUTE INVESTMENTS sought RMB207.97 million from UOB Singapore, both loans due in February 2023.
Outstanding Balances: The current outstanding balances for the two loans are RMB114.8 million and RMB207.97 million, totaling RMB322.77 million.
Loan Extensions: UOB Shenzhen and UOB Singapore have agreed to extend the loans for an additional term of one year following a recent application by the group.
Market Information: The short selling data for China Vanke indicates a short selling amount of $5.74 million with a ratio of 2.732%.

Top Short Selling Stocks: S&P Global Market Intelligence identified the top ten Hong Kong stocks with the highest short selling ratios, highlighting significant borrowing activity relative to total shares issued.
CATL Performance: CATL (03750.HK) showed a short selling ratio of 16.502% with a total of $138.71 million borrowed, reflecting a slight price increase of 1.280% over the past week.
Jiangsu Express and Ping An: Jiangsu Express (00177.HK) had the highest short selling ratio at 48.169%, while Ping An (02318.HK) followed with a ratio of 29.427%, indicating substantial investor skepticism.
Overall Market Trends: The report includes various stocks with their respective short selling ratios and price changes, indicating mixed performance across the board, with some stocks experiencing significant declines.
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 249 points (0.9%) to close at 26,630, with a total market turnover of HKD288.42 billion. The HSCEI and HSTECH also saw gains, closing at 8,859 and 5,137 respectively.
Property Sector Highlights: SHK PPT reported a nearly 17% increase in interim underlying profit, leading to a 7.1% rise in its stock price. Other property developers like New World Dev and CK Asset also experienced stock price increases.
MSCI Index Changes: Changes to the MSCI China Index constituents were noted, with stocks like HESAI-W and SENSETIME-W seeing significant gains of 4.4% and 4.9%, while PONY-W and YOFC surged over 10%.
Tech Sector Updates: In the tech sector, BIDU-SW reported a 42% YoY decline in non-GAAP net profit but slightly exceeded market expectations, leading to a minor stock rebound. Other tech stocks like Tencent and Netease also saw modest increases, while Alibaba and Kuaishou experienced slight declines.

MSCI China Index Changes: The MSCI China Index will add 37 stocks, including HESAI-W, PONY-W, SENSETIME-W, and YOFC, while removing 16 stocks such as Autohome and CHINA VANKE.
Stock Performance: HESAI-W increased by 3.4% to HKD217.6, PONY-W surged to HKD115.8 (up 7.5%), SENSETIME-W peaked at HKD2.64 (up 8.2%), and YOFC rose to HKD145.9 (up 7.9%).
Short Selling Data: Notable short selling figures include SENSETIME-W at $191.27M (11.527% ratio) and YOFC at $156.76M (6.958% ratio), indicating significant market activity.
Market Reactions: The changes in the MSCI China Index and the performance of the added stocks reflect investor sentiment and market dynamics in the Hong Kong stock market.

Chinese Property Developers Performance: Several Chinese property developers, including CHINA RES LAND and CHINA OVERSEAS, are rated as "Overweight" despite experiencing slight declines in share prices and notable short selling activity.
Market Reactions and Predictions: Analysts from JPM and UBS predict that easing property market restrictions in Shanghai may have limited effects on trading, with specific stocks like CHINA RES LAND and CHINA JINMAO being highlighted as top picks.
Chinese Property Managers Overview: Among property management companies, CHINA RES MIXC and POLY PPT SER are rated "Overweight," while others like A-LIVING and SUNAC SERVICES are rated "Underweight," indicating mixed investor sentiment.
Short Selling Trends: The report highlights significant short selling ratios across various companies, with some developers and managers facing higher short selling activity, reflecting market caution.

Top Short Selling Stocks: S&P Global Market Intelligence identified the top 10 Hong Kong stocks with the highest short selling ratios, with CATL leading at 19.445% and Ping An at 34.425%.
Short Selling Data: The short selling ratios are calculated based on the percentage of shares borrowed relative to the total number of issued shares, with significant amounts of short selling observed across various companies.
Stock Performance: The report includes details on the number of shares borrowed, price changes over the past week, and the percentage change in short selling for each stock.
Market Insights: The data reflects investor sentiment and market trends, with notable interest in sectors such as materials, insurance, and consumer staples, as indicated by JPM's sector preferences.





