CITI PREDICTS FIRST RATE CUT OF THE YEAR IN MAY INSTEAD OF MARCH DUE TO JOBS DATA
Economic Forecast: CITI expects to deliver the first rate cut of the year in May, indicating a shift in monetary policy.
Job Market Insights: This forecast follows recent jobs data, suggesting changes in employment trends that may influence economic decisions.
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Trump's Mention of Fed Chair: Trump has referenced the Federal Reserve Chair, indicating a focus on monetary policy.
Interest Rates Discussion: There is a call for interest rates to be reduced significantly to stimulate economic growth.
- Federal Reserve's Goals: The Federal Reserve aims to manage interest rates effectively to combat inflation.
- Current Economic Outlook: While rates can still decrease, there is a need for visible progress in reducing inflation.
Economic Forecast: CITI expects to deliver the first rate cut of the year in May, indicating a shift in monetary policy.
Job Market Insights: This forecast follows recent jobs data, suggesting changes in employment trends that may influence economic decisions.
Record Inflows into ETFs: U.S.-listed ETFs saw $49.7 billion in inflows last week, bringing the year-to-date total to a record $1.33 trillion, although much of this activity was driven by quarter-end mechanics rather than new risk-taking.
Contrasting ETF Performance: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) experienced a significant inflow of $40.5 billion, while the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) faced a $51.8 billion outflow, highlighting the complexities in interpreting ETF data.
Tech Sector Pullback: Investors reduced exposure to technology and semiconductor ETFs, with notable outflows from the Invesco QQQ Trust and the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares, indicating a more selective approach to tech investments.
Emerging Demand for Diversification: The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF and Schwab International Equity ETF attracted substantial inflows, suggesting a shift towards diversification and a cautious stance against concentrated market leadership.
ETF Outflow Details: The OSCG ETF experienced the largest outflow, losing 20,000 units, which equates to a 40.0% decline in outstanding units compared to the previous week.
Market Impact: The significant outflow from the OSCG ETF highlights potential shifts in investor sentiment and market dynamics.
Video Content: A video segment discusses the outflows of SOXL and OSCG ETFs, providing further insights into the market trends.
Author's Perspective: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
52-Week Range of SOXL: SOXL's share price has a 52-week low of $7.225 and a high of $50.76, with the last trade recorded at $40.05.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.





