Bernstein: TENCENT's Valuation Strained Amid Concerns Over Delayed Chatbot Development
Chinese Internet Sector Performance: The Chinese internet sector had a lackluster start in 2026, with KWEB remaining flat year-to-date, while BABA-W outperformed due to its AI agent service, and TENCENT lagged behind amid significant short selling.
AI Chatbot Competition: The competition in the AI chatbot space is intensifying, with major platforms offering subsidies to encourage adoption, although the effectiveness of such strategies is questioned compared to past promotional methods.
Regulatory Concerns: The regulatory environment remains challenging, with investigations into companies like Pinduoduo and TRIP.COM-S contributing to market volatility, alongside rumors of a VAT increase that were later debunked.
TENCENT's AI Development: TENCENT's stock performance reflects investor concerns over its AI capabilities, with a recent valuation downgrade. The company is working on improving its chatbot business and aims to accelerate AI model development following a team restructuring.
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Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $65.9 billion, accounting for 22.6% of the eligible securities turnover, slightly down from 22.7% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Shares: The top five shares with the highest short selling amounts include TRACKER FUND (02800.HK) at $10.15 billion, HSCEI ETF (02828.HK) at $4.45 billion, XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) at $3.24 billion, BABA-W (09988.HK) at $2.72 billion, and TENCENT (00700.HK) at $2.39 billion.
Short Selling Ratios: TRACKER FUND has the highest short selling ratio at 59.3%, followed closely by HSCEI ETF at 58.9%, while XIAOMI-W, BABA-W, and TENCENT have ratios of 33.2%, 16.4%, and 16.3% respectively.
Market Performance: The reported changes in share prices for the top shorted stocks include declines for TRACKER FUND, HSCEI ETF, XIAOMI-W, BABA-W, and TENCENT, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 570 points (2.1%) to 26,059, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 148 points (2.9%) to 4,989, with a total market turnover of $357.68 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba experienced significant declines, with Xiaomi down 5% and Alibaba down 4.5%, amidst high short selling ratios.
Gainers in the Market: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were notable gainers, with Xinyi Glass rising 12.4% to a new high, while CNOOC increased by 5.6%.
Volatile Stocks: Several stocks faced sharp declines, including Guofuhee, which plummeted 19.2%, and Dmall, which fell 13.1%, indicating a volatile trading environment.

Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $37.9 billion at midday, accounting for 23.7% of the turnover of securities eligible for short selling, an increase from 22.7% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Shares: The top five shares with the highest short selling amounts include CSOP HS TECH, TRACKER FUND, XIAOMI-W, BABA-W, and TENCENT, with CSOP HS TECH leading at $7.8 billion and a short selling ratio of 75.6%.
CSOP HS TECH Performance: CSOP HS TECH (03033.HK) experienced a decline of 2.068%, with a significant short selling turnover of $7.8 billion.
Other Notable Stocks: TRACKER FUND (02800.HK) and XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) also saw considerable short selling, with ratios of 47.9% and 31.5%, respectively, while BABA-W and TENCENT had lower ratios of 14.7% and 13.2%.
Morgan Stanley's Market Strategy: The report highlights new additions to the focus list for Hong Kong and Chinese markets, including GIGADEVICE and SINOPEC CORP, while removing SUNNY OPTICAL and ESPRESSIF.
Stock Performance: Notable stock movements include SINOPEC CORP and CHALCO showing gains, while GIGADEVICE and SUNNY OPTICAL experienced declines, with significant short selling activity reported across various stocks.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 420 points (1.6%) to 26,209, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.1% and 1.4%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba saw significant drops, with Xiaomi down 4.6% and Alibaba down 2.7%, amidst high short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were standout performers, with Xinyi Glass rising 11.4% to a new high, while several other stocks, including Sunny Optical and HSBC Holdings, faced declines.
Short Selling Trends: The short selling ratios for various stocks were notable, with JD Health and HSBC Holdings showing high short selling activity, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.

Tencent's Game Release: Tencent's multiplayer adventure game, Honor of Kings: World, is set to launch in April, with pre-registration available on Apple iOS.
Game Features: The game is an open-world RPG that supports ray tracing and Nvidia's DLSS 3 technology, with pioneer testing having started on July 24, 2025.




