Carlyle (CG) Releases Q3 Earnings: Insights from Key Metrics
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 08 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CG?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Carlyle Group's Financial Performance: For Q3 2025, Carlyle Group reported a revenue of $782.5 million, a 12.6% decrease from the previous year, with an EPS of $0.98, slightly up from $0.95 year-over-year.
Earnings Surprise Analysis: The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.78%, while the EPS met expectations, indicating no surprise in earnings.
Investor Insights: Key metrics are emphasized as crucial for understanding the company's performance, helping investors gauge stock price projections beyond just headline numbers.
Investment Recommendations: Zacks Investment Research highlights top stock recommendations, suggesting potential high returns, with a specific mention of a stock that could outperform previous successful picks.
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Analyst Views on CG
Wall Street analysts forecast CG stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 51.660
Low
53.00
Averages
67.91
High
83.00
Current: 51.660
Low
53.00
Averages
67.91
High
83.00
About CG
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global investment company. The Company's segments include Global Private Equity, Global Credit and Carlyle AlpInvest. The Global Private Equity segment advises the Company's buyout, growth, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources funds. The segment also includes the NGP Carry Funds advised by NGP Energy Capital Management (NGP). The Global Credit segment advises funds and vehicles that pursue investment strategies including insurance solutions, liquid credit, opportunistic credit, direct lending, asset-backed finance, aviation finance, infrastructure credit, cross-platform credit products, and global capital markets. The Carlyle AlpInvest segment advises global private equity programs that pursue secondary purchases and financing of existing portfolios, managed co-investment programs, and primary fund investments. The Carlyle AlpInvest segment helps investors meet their objectives through tailored portfolio construction and investment selection.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Reaction Analysis: Although Blackstone's measures to allow investor redemptions aimed to address liquidity needs, this move did not alleviate market tensions but instead sparked broader concerns about the private credit sector, particularly regarding loans in the software industry.
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- Private Equity Crisis: Private equity and private credit firms are facing a trust crisis as they are perceived as high-risk debt bearers, leading to a sharp decline in market confidence regarding their future, which could result in a wave of bankruptcies and further heighten recession risks.
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- Financial Targets Set: The firm has outlined three-year financial targets to be achieved by the end of 2028, including over $1.9 billion in free cash flow, over $200 billion in inflows, and earnings per share of over $6, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
- Positive Market Reaction: In pre-market trading, Carlyle Group shares were priced at $51.55, up 0.04%, reflecting a positive market response to the buyback announcement, which may further drive stock price appreciation.
- Strategic Implications: This buyback program not only reflects confidence in the company's financial health but also has the potential to attract more investor attention, thereby strengthening the firm's position in a competitive investment landscape.
See More
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- Earnings Growth Expectations: The firm anticipates fee-related earnings exceeding $1.9 billion by 2028, up from $1.2 billion in 2025, reflecting ongoing optimization in management fees and investment returns.
- Earnings Per Share Increase: Carlyle expects distributable earnings per share to surpass $6.00, compared to $4.02 in 2025, indicating strong growth potential in profitability and shareholder returns.
- Share Repurchase Program: The company announced a new $2 billion share repurchase program aimed at enhancing shareholder value and boosting market confidence, further solidifying its competitive position in the investment management sector.
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