CG Should I Buy
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Carlyle Group Inc (CG) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive news catalysts such as the $2 billion share buyback program and ambitious inflow targets, along with favorable analyst ratings, make it a compelling investment opportunity. While technical indicators are mixed, the long-term growth potential outweighs short-term technical concerns.
The technical indicators show mixed signals. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 55.454, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), and the stock is trading near a resistance level (R1: 55.115). However, the stock's recent price increase of 5.65% in the regular market and 3.78% in pre-market indicates strong buying interest.
$2 billion share buyback program to enhance EPS and investor confidence.
Ambitious target to attract $200 billion in inflows by 2028, significantly up from $53.7 billion in
Strong Q4 financial performance with revenue up 29.13% YoY, net income up 69.80% YoY, and EPS up 68.42% YoY.
Mixed technical indicators with bearish moving averages and MACD below
Analysts have lowered price targets recently, reflecting cautious sentiment in the asset manager space.
In Q4 2025, Carlyle Group reported strong financials: Revenue increased by 29.13% YoY to $1.197 billion, net income rose by 69.80% YoY to $358.1 million, and EPS grew by 68.42% YoY to 0.96. Gross margin remained stable at 83.21%.
Analyst ratings are generally positive. RBC Capital initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $67 price target, citing accelerating distributable earnings growth. Barclays raised the price target to $71, highlighting strong Q4 earnings. However, UBS and TD Cowen lowered their price targets to $65, reflecting cautious sentiment in the asset manager space. The average price target remains above the current price, indicating upside potential.
