XMTR Should I Buy
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Xometry Inc. (XMTR) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While the company has shown strong revenue growth and exceeded Q4 expectations, the current technical indicators, negative market sentiment, and leadership transition concerns suggest holding off on buying the stock until more stability and clarity emerge.
The MACD is negatively expanding (-1.917), indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 30.329, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 43.563, with significant downside risk toward S2 at 37.977. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish or neutral trend.
Strong Q4 2025 revenue growth of 30% YoY, exceeding $192 million.
Positive Q1 guidance with anticipated revenue growth of 24.5% YoY.
Partnership with Maryland Manufacturing Extension Partnership to enhance digital maturity for manufacturers.
CEO transition creating uncertainty among investors.
Concerns about deceleration in marketplace revenue growth for
Stock price down over 20% recently, reflecting market uncertainty and AI-related concerns.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 29.52% YoY to $192.4 million, demonstrating strong top-line growth. However, net income dropped by -12.69% YoY to -$8.63 million, and EPS fell by -15.00% YoY to -0.17. Gross margin also declined slightly to 39.11%, down 1.56% YoY, indicating some pressure on profitability.
Analysts are mixed on the stock. RBC Capital, Wedbush, and Citi have lowered their price targets, citing leadership transition concerns and AI-related market sentiment. However, Wedbush and William Blair still recommend buying on weakness, highlighting strong Q4 results and conservative guidance. Price targets range from $55 to $65.
