VST Earnings

VST reported its earnings on 2026-02-26, showcasing a revenue of against an estimate of 5.34B, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 2.51 by 0%. The stock experienced a 0.83% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following VST's earnings announcement on 2026-02-26, the stock price moved by 0.83% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0% change. Historically, VST's stock price tends to shift by an average of -5.82% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 0.35% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate VST's annual revenue to reach 5.54B, while the EPS is projected at 1.01. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised downward by -0.61% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between VST's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were revised downward by -0.61%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, VST's stock price typically moves by -5.82% in the 10 days before its earnings and 0.35% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.01 and revenue of 5.54B.

The earnings call summary highlights strong adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow guidance, a promising Comanche Peak agreement, and significant data center development, indicating a positive outlook. The Q&A session reinforces this sentiment, with analysts showing interest in long-term contracts and Vistra's strategic positioning. Despite some uncertainties in data center contracts, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and shareholder return plans.