VLO Earnings

VLO reported its earnings on 2026-01-29, showcasing a revenue of 30.37B against an estimate of 28.90B, resulting in a 5.09% surprise. The EPS was 3.82, surpassing the expected 3.22 by 18.63%. The stock experienced a -0.83% price change on the earnings day and a 4.48% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following VLO's earnings announcement on 2026-01-29, the stock price moved by -0.83% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.48% change. Historically, VLO's stock price tends to shift by an average of 1.25% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 0.53% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate VLO's annual revenue to reach 28.23B, while the EPS is projected at 2.64. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised downward by -0.1% and EPS estimates revised upward by 0.62% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between VLO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were revised downward by -0.1%, while EPS estimates moved revised upward by 0.62%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, VLO's stock price typically moves by 1.25% in the 10 days before its earnings and 0.53% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.64 and revenue of 28.23B.

The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong fundamentals and strategic initiatives, such as the FCC unit optimization and renewable diesel growth. Positive sentiment is reinforced by favorable heavy crude differentials and a commitment to shareholder returns through stock buybacks. Despite minor winter storm disruptions and unclear management responses on certain topics, the overall outlook remains optimistic, especially with improved cash flow and renewable diesel prospects. The absence of negative guidance adjustments further supports a positive stock price movement prediction.