Ternium Anticipates Increase in Adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026
The company said, "Ternium anticipates an increase in Adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the fourth quarter of 2025. Shipments are expected to rise, primarily in Mexico. Adjusted EBITDA margin is also expected to improve, driven by an increase in revenue per ton, in both Mexico and Brazil, partially offset by higher costs per ton. In Mexico, the government recently raised import tariffs on more than fourteen hundred tariff lines for countries without a free trade agreement, covering the majority of steel products. Demand is improving in the commercial market, following a destocking process throughout the steel value chain in 2025 due to market uncertainty related to trade negotiations with the United States. In the industrial market, the automotive industry is undergoing a period of rebalancing, marked by adjustments to electric vehicle production plans and the reshoring of manufacturing capacity from Asia. In Brazil, the government has recently taken action to address the rise in steel imports from China, which have been entering under unfair trade conditions and harming the local market. Antidumping duties were applied to imports of cold rolled coils and galvanized steel, following the imposition of import duties on nine other steel products. These measures are significant steps toward ensuring fair competition within Brazil's steel industry. Argentina's steel demand is expected to continue a gradual recovery in 2026, driven by the agricultural, mining, and energy sectors, as well as improvements in construction activity. Still, there is concern that unfairly traded imports could disrupt the steel value chain in the country if not properly addressed. In this context, the new trade agreement between Argentina and the United States holds significant importance, as both countries have committed to cooperating in tackling unfair trade practices originating from other nations."
