TFII Should I Buy
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TFI International Inc (TFII) does not currently present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are positive catalysts such as hedge fund buying and optimistic analyst ratings, the lack of recent Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals, weak financial performance in the latest quarter, and neutral technical indicators suggest that the stock is better suited for holding rather than buying at this time.
The MACD is negative (-0.832) and contracting, RSI is neutral at 55.24, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 118.817, with resistance at 124.929 and support at 112.705.
Hedge funds are significantly increasing their buying activity (+2038% last quarter). Analysts have raised price targets, with several maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings. Optimism exists around the freight cycle recovery and potential upside from industrial exposure.
The company's Q4 2025 financials showed a decline in revenue (-7.84% YoY), net income (-14.58% YoY), and EPS (-11.22% YoY). Gross margin also slightly decreased. Q1 guidance is conservative, and freight volumes remain soft. No recent news or congress trading data to act as a catalyst.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $1.91 billion (-7.84% YoY), net income fell to $71.65 million (-14.58% YoY), and EPS declined to $0.87 (-11.22% YoY). Gross margin slightly decreased to 42.55% (-0.23% YoY).
Analysts are generally positive, with multiple firms raising price targets (e.g., Citi to $143, Goldman Sachs to $128, RBC Capital to $137). However, some firms, like Stephens, remain cautious, citing underwhelming Q1 guidance and a need for operational improvement.
