STZ Earnings

STZ reported its earnings on 2026-01-07, showcasing a revenue of 2.37B against an estimate of 2.18B, resulting in a 8.92% surprise. The EPS was 3.06, surpassing the expected 2.65 by 15.47%. The stock experienced a 5.32% price change on the earnings day and a 9.02% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following STZ's earnings announcement on 2026-01-07, the stock price moved by 5.32% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 9.02% change. Historically, STZ's stock price tends to shift by an average of 2.92% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 1.64% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q4, analysts estimate STZ's annual revenue to reach 1.86B, while the EPS is projected at 1.69. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised downward by -0.09% and EPS estimates revised downward by -0.17% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between STZ's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were revised downward by -0.09%, while EPS estimates moved revised downward by -0.17%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, STZ's stock price typically moves by 2.92% in the 10 days before its earnings and 1.64% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.69 and revenue of 1.86B.

The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive elements like successful brand performance and potential growth in distribution, challenges such as aluminum price increases, seasonality, and macroeconomic concerns temper enthusiasm. The management's avoidance of direct answers on key metrics adds uncertainty. The Q&A indicates cautious optimism but acknowledges significant headwinds. Given these factors, a neutral stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.