SNCY Earnings

SNCY reported its FY2024Q4 earnings on 2025-02-04, showcasing a revenue of 260.41M against an estimate of 258.04M, resulting in a 0.92% surprise. The EPS was 0.27, surpassing the expected 0.21 by 28.57%. The stock experienced a -3.91% price change on the earnings day and a 4.09% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following SNCY's FY2024Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-02-04, the stock price moved by -3.91% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.09% change. Historically, SNCY's stock price tends to shift by an average of 0.7% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 3.23% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate SNCY's annual revenue to reach 350.07M, while the EPS is projected at 0.75. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised downward by -0.05% and EPS estimates revised downward by -0.14% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between SNCY's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were revised downward by -0.05%, while EPS estimates moved revised downward by -0.14%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, SNCY's stock price typically moves by 0.7% in the 10 days before its earnings and 3.23% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.75 and revenue of 350.07M.

The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Positive elements include strong TRASM improvements, solid winter sales, and a focus on share buybacks. However, concerns about rising CASM ex-fuel costs, captain upgrades, and unclear responses on maintenance cost stabilization and capacity growth create uncertainties. The lack of specific guidance on first-quarter 2026 margins and the impact of Spirit's exit from Minneapolis also contribute to a neutral sentiment. Without market cap data, the stock reaction is uncertain, but the mixed signals suggest limited movement.