SFNC Earnings

SFNC reported its earnings on 2026-01-20, showcasing a revenue of 359.24M against an estimate of 238.81M, resulting in a 50.43% surprise. The EPS was 0.54, surpassing the expected 0.49 by 10.2%. The stock experienced a 8.92% price change on the earnings day and a 3.79% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following SFNC's earnings announcement on 2026-01-20, the stock price moved by 8.92% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 3.79% change. Historically, SFNC's stock price tends to shift by an average of 0.64% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.28% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate SFNC's annual revenue to reach 237.04M, while the EPS is projected at 0.45. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between SFNC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, SFNC's stock price typically moves by 0.64% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.28% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.45 and revenue of 237.04M.

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 15% increase in net income and a decrease in non-performing assets. The Q&A session provides optimistic guidance for 2026, with stable margins and asset quality. The company's strategic focus on organic growth and talent acquisition is positive. However, competitive pressures and unclear management responses on loan pricing and deposit growth strategies introduce some caution. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement within the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.