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The company shows strong financial performance with an 11% increase in operating cash flow and significant capital returned to shareholders. Positive trends in preneed cemetery and funeral sales, coupled with strategic initiatives for cremation customers, indicate growth potential. Although funeral volumes are expected to be flat, optimistic guidance for 2026 EPS growth and ongoing investments in premium cemetery inventory support a positive outlook. Despite some vague management responses, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (Q4 2025) $1.14, an 8% increase compared to $1.06 in the prior year. Reasons: Moderate increases in revenues and gross profit in both funeral and cemetery segments, lower adjusted corporate, general, and administrative expenses, and a lower share count.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (Full Year 2025) $3.85, a 9% increase compared to $3.53 in the prior year. Reasons: Solid increases in revenue, gross profit, and comparable margin percentages in both funeral and cemetery segments, lower share count, and slightly lower interest expense, partially offset by a higher effective tax rate.
Comparable Funeral Revenues (Q4 2025) Increased by $3 million or less than 1% over the prior year. Reasons: Growth in core and non-funeral home revenue, offset by lower core general agency revenue.
Core Funeral Revenue (Q4 2025) Increased by $6 million or just more than 1%. Reasons: 3.2% growth in core average revenue per service, despite a 1.9% decrease in core funeral services performed.
Non-Funeral Home Revenue (Q4 2025) Increased by $3 million, driven by an 11% increase in average revenue per service.
Core General Agency and Other Revenue (Q4 2025) Declined by $8 million or almost 13%. Reasons: Lower general agency commission rate due to changes in product mix and higher cancellations from the insurance partner transition.
Funeral Gross Profit (Q4 2025) Declined by $4 million, with gross profit percentage down by 70 basis points to about 21%. Reasons: $5 million increase in recognized selling compensation costs, shift to more fixed compensation for sales counselors, and transition to insurance-funded products.
Preneed Sales Production (Q4 2025) Increased by $29 million or 11%. Reasons: Core preneed funeral sales production increased by $25 million (12%), and non-funeral home preneed sales production increased by $4 million (8%).
Comparable Cemetery Revenue (Q4 2025) Increased by $5 million or 1%. Reasons: $8 million increase in other revenue, offset by a $3 million decline in core revenue.
Cemetery Gross Profit (Q4 2025) Increased by $5 million or 3%, with gross profit percentage up by 70 basis points to over 36%. Reasons: High-margin trust income, offset by lower-margin core revenue declines, and fixed cost growth managed to slightly above 1%.
Adjusted Operating Cash Flow (Q4 2025) $213 million, a decrease of $34 million compared to the prior year after neutralizing for a $21 million increase in cash taxes. Reasons: Higher adjusted operating income of $8 million, offset by $24 million higher cash interest and $18 million use of other working capital.
Adjusted Operating Cash Flow (Full Year 2025) $966 million, an 11% increase compared to 2024. Reasons: Excluding cash taxes and special items, cash provided by operating activities increased by $108 million.
Capital Investments (Q4 2025) $174 million. Breakdown: $107 million in maintenance capital, $31 million in growth capital, and $36 million in business acquisitions.
Capital Investments (Full Year 2025) $508 million. Breakdown: $328 million in maintenance capital, $79 million in growth capital, and $101 million in business acquisitions.
Capital Returned to Shareholders (Q4 2025) $107 million. Breakdown: $59 million in share repurchases and $48 million in dividends.
Capital Returned to Shareholders (Full Year 2025) $645 million. Breakdown: $461 million in share repurchases and $184 million in dividends.
Adjusted EPS Growth: For Q4 2025, adjusted EPS grew by 8% to $1.14 compared to $1.06 in the prior year. For the full year, adjusted EPS increased by 9% to $3.85.
Preneed Sales Growth: Preneed funeral sales production increased by $29 million (11%) in Q4 2025, with core preneed funeral sales up by $25 million (12%). Preneed cemetery sales production grew by 4% for the year.
Revenue Growth: Moderate increases in revenues and gross profit were observed in both funeral and cemetery segments. Comparable funeral revenues increased by $3 million, and cemetery revenue increased by $5 million in Q4 2025.
Acquisitions: Invested $36 million in Q4 2025 for acquisitions in North Carolina, Arizona, Florida, and Canada. Total acquisition spend for 2025 was $101 million.
Expansion Investments: Invested $31 million in Q4 2025 for new funeral homes, expansions, and real estate purchases. Total growth capital for 2025 was $79 million.
Cost Management: Fixed cost growth was managed below inflationary levels, contributing to margin improvements in both funeral and cemetery segments.
Cash Flow: Generated $213 million in adjusted operating cash flow in Q4 2025 and $966 million for the full year, an 11% increase compared to 2024.
2026 Financial Outlook: Normalized EPS for 2026 is projected at $4.05 to $4.35, reflecting 5% to 13% growth. Preneed funeral and cemetery sales are expected to grow in the low to mid-single-digit percentage range.
Capital Deployment: Plan to invest $325 million in maintenance CapEx, $75-$125 million in acquisitions, and $70-$80 million in growth capital for 2026.
Funeral Revenue Challenges: Core general agency and other revenue declined by $8 million or almost 13%, primarily due to a lower general agency commission rate impacted by changes in product mix and higher cancellations from the insurance partner transition.
Funeral Gross Profit Decline: Funeral gross profit declined by almost $4 million, with a gross profit percentage decline of 70 basis points to about 21%, driven by increased recognized selling compensation costs and a shift to lower-margin general agency commissions.
Cemetery Core Revenue Decline: Core cemetery revenue declined by $3 million, primarily due to a $3 million decline in at-need revenue.
Higher Interest Expense: Cash interest was higher by $24 million in the fourth quarter, primarily due to timing differences in bond financing and credit facility reductions.
Higher Corporate G&A Expense: Corporate G&A expense increased by $19 million in the quarter, primarily due to the prior year benefiting from a $20 million legal reserve reduction.
Flat to Declining Funeral Volume: For 2026, funeral volume is expected to be flat to slightly down compared to 2025, with modest cremation mix increases slightly negating average revenue per case growth.
Higher Selling Costs: Selling costs are expected to increase in 2026 due to a shift to a higher percentage of fixed compensation that does not get deferred.
Higher Tax Rate Impact: A higher effective tax rate in 2025 negated some of the favorable impacts on earnings per share growth, and a slightly higher tax rate is expected in 2026.
2026 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Guidance: The company has provided a normalized EPS range of $4.05 to $4.35 for 2026, representing 5% to 13% growth, with a midpoint of $4.20 (9% growth).
Funeral Segment Outlook: Flat to slightly down funeral volume is expected compared to 2025. Average revenue per case is projected to grow at inflationary rates, slightly offset by a modest cremation mix increase. Higher general agency revenue from increased preneed sales production is anticipated, along with slightly higher recognized selling costs. Fixed costs are expected to be managed below inflationary levels, driving profit growth and increasing the gross margin percentage by 20 to 60 basis points. Preneed funeral production is expected to grow in the low to mid-single-digit percentage range.
Cemetery Segment Outlook: Preneed cemetery sales production is anticipated to grow in the low to mid-single-digit percentage range, resulting in cemetery revenue growth of about 2% to 5%. Profit dollar growth is expected, with gross margin percentages expanding by 30 to 60 basis points compared to 2025.
2026 Cash Flow Guidance: Adjusted operating cash flow is projected to range from $1.0 billion to $1.06 billion, with a midpoint of $1.03 billion. Cash taxes are expected to decline by about $20 million, and cash paid for interest is anticipated to decrease modestly.
Capital Investments for 2026: Maintenance capital expenditures (CapEx) are expected to be about $325 million, flat compared to 2025. This includes $135 million for funeral home and cemetery improvements, $165 million for cemetery development projects, and $25 million for digital strategy investments. Growth capital of $70 million to $80 million is planned for new funeral home construction and real estate opportunities. Acquisition spending is targeted at $75 million to $125 million.
Shareholder Returns: The company plans to continue returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in a consistent and disciplined manner, absent higher return investment opportunities.
Liquidity and Financial Position: The company entered into a new $2.5 billion bank credit facility in November 2025, increasing liquidity by over $350 million. Current liquidity stands at about $1.7 billion. Leverage ended 2025 at just above 3.65x, at the lower end of the long-term net debt-to-EBITDA leverage target range of 3.5x to 4x.
Dividends in Q4 2025: $48 million returned to shareholders
Dividends in 2025: $184 million returned to shareholders
Share repurchases in Q4 2025: $59 million spent, just under 1 million shares repurchased at an average price of $79 per share
Share repurchases in 2025: $461 million spent, reducing shares outstanding to just under 140 million
Share repurchases post-2025: 500,000 shares repurchased for $40 million at an average price of $80 per share
The company shows strong financial performance with an 11% increase in operating cash flow and significant capital returned to shareholders. Positive trends in preneed cemetery and funeral sales, coupled with strategic initiatives for cremation customers, indicate growth potential. Although funeral volumes are expected to be flat, optimistic guidance for 2026 EPS growth and ongoing investments in premium cemetery inventory support a positive outlook. Despite some vague management responses, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
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