RSKD Overview

Riskified's Upgrade: Riskified (RSKD) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which are crucial for stock price movements.

Earnings Estimate Revisions: The Zacks rating system, based on earnings estimate revisions, has shown a strong correlation with stock price movements, making it a valuable tool for investors.

Market Position: The upgrade places Riskified in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for near-term stock price increases due to improved earnings outlook.

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UBS Coverage and Price Forecast: UBS has maintained a Neutral recommendation for Riskified (NYSE: RSKD) as of November 13, 2025, with an average one-year price target of $5.86/share, indicating a potential upside of 17.54% from its current price of $4.99/share.

Projected Revenue and EPS: Riskified's projected annual revenue is $438 million, reflecting a 29.20% increase, while the projected non-GAAP EPS is -0.22.

Fund Sentiment and Ownership Changes: There are 128 funds reporting positions in Riskified, with a slight decrease in ownership by 0.78% over the last quarter. The average portfolio weight for these funds is 0.15%, which has increased by 2.83%.

Shareholder Activity: Notable shareholders include Capital World Investors and SMCWX, both holding 7.53% of shares, while Phoenix Holdings and Acadian Asset Management have reduced their holdings by 23.61% and 0.29%, respectively, over the last quarter.

Earnings Performance: Riskified (RSKD) reported quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.03, marking a 33.33% earnings surprise. The company also posted revenues of $81.86 million, surpassing expectations by 2.10%.

Stock Outlook: Despite a year-to-date gain of 5.9%, Riskified has underperformed compared to the S&P 500's 16.4% increase. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market.

Future Earnings Estimates: The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.11 on revenues of $97.68 million, with a fiscal year estimate of $0.19 on $341.31 million in revenues. The outlook for the industry may significantly influence the stock's performance.

Industry Context: The Internet - Software industry ranks in the top 24% of Zacks industries, suggesting potential for outperformance. Another industry player, PagerDuty (PD), is expected to report earnings soon, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.24.

Financial Performance: Riskified Ltd. reported strong third-quarter results for FY 2025, with revenue of $81.9 million and a gross profit margin of 50%, reflecting a year-over-year revenue increase of 4%. The company anticipates continued growth in gross profit and revenue through the holiday season.

Market Expansion: The company achieved significant growth in its Money Transfer and Payments category, with a 100% year-over-year revenue increase, and successfully onboarded new merchants across various verticals and geographies, enhancing its market presence.

Share Repurchase Program: In Q3 2025, Riskified repurchased approximately 5.2 million shares for about $25.3 million, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders while managing dilution.

Future Outlook: Riskified expects revenue for the full year 2025 to be between $338 million and $346 million, with an adjusted EBITDA forecast of $21 million to $27 million, reflecting confidence in its growth strategy and operational efficiency.