RIVN Earnings

RIVN reported its earnings on 2026-02-12, showcasing a revenue of 1.29B against an estimate of 1.26B, resulting in a 2.06% surprise. The EPS was -0.66, surpassing the expected -0.83 by 20.48%. The stock experienced a 26.64% price change on the earnings day and a 11.36% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following RIVN's earnings announcement on 2026-02-12, the stock price moved by 26.64% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 11.36% change. Historically, RIVN's stock price tends to shift by an average of 1.76% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -3.33% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate RIVN's annual revenue to reach 1.41B, while the EPS is projected at -0.67. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised downward by -0.03% and EPS estimates revised downward by -0.18% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between RIVN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were revised downward by -0.03%, while EPS estimates moved revised downward by -0.18%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, RIVN's stock price typically moves by 1.76% in the 10 days before its earnings and -3.33% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.67 and revenue of 1.41B.

The earnings call revealed strong market positioning with the R2 launch, high confidence in demand, and strategic partnerships with Volkswagen. The financial guidance and capital funding are solid, with breakeven gross profit expected in 2025. Despite some uncertainty in R2 profitability by Q4 2026, the overall outlook is optimistic with a focus on growth and innovation. The Q&A reinforced positive sentiment, highlighting potential market share gains and robust financial contributions from partnerships, suggesting a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.