RITM Should I Buy
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Rithm Capital Corp is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are bearish, the financial performance shows significant declines, and hedge funds are selling. While analysts maintain a Buy rating with reduced price targets, there are no strong positive catalysts or recent news to justify immediate investment. A hold is recommended until clearer positive signals emerge.
The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, RSI is neutral at 46.709, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 10.374, with key resistance at 10.75 and support at 9.998.
Analysts maintain Buy ratings with a constructive outlook, and the stock has a chance to gain 1.62% in the next week and 1.8% in the next month.
Hedge funds are selling heavily (284.34% increase in selling last quarter). Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed significant declines in revenue (-24.84% YoY), net income (-79.82% YoY), EPS (-82.00% YoY), and gross margin (-8.33% YoY). No recent news or congress trading data to support positive sentiment.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $1.359 billion (-24.84% YoY), net income dropped to $53.12 million (-79.82% YoY), EPS dropped to $0.09 (-82.00% YoY), and gross margin dropped to 68.89 (-8.33% YoY).
Analysts maintain Buy and Overweight ratings, but price targets have been lowered recently (e.g., UBS lowered the target to $15 from $16, Piper Sandler lowered the target to $15 from $15.50). Analysts note solid operating results but acknowledge challenges.
