However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates have been unchanged by 0%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted unchanged by 0%. These revisions correlate with a -13.79% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in PAX long-term fundamentals.

The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

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AI Analysis

Earnings Surprise Analysis

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Earnings Reaction

The chart below shows how PAX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PAX sees a 0.72% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a 2.1% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.96%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.

For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.2% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.6% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What were the key highlights of PAX's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

PAX reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 84.60M against an estimate of 83.19M, resulting in a 1.69% surprise. The EPS was 0.3, surpassing the expected 0.26 by 15.38%. The stock experienced a 3.02% price change on the earnings day and a 1.58% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

How did PAX's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following PAX's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 3.02% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 1.58% change. Historically, PAX's stock price tends to shift by an average of 0.72% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 2.1% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

What are the revenue and EPS estimates for PAX for 2026/Q1?

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate PAX's annual revenue to reach 113.49M, while the EPS is projected at 0.32. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

How does PAX's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between PAX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

What should investors expect from PAX's next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, PAX's stock price typically moves by 0.72% in the 10 days before its earnings and 2.1% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.32 and revenue of 113.49M.

What is the sentiment in Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reflects strong financial performance, with increased fee revenue and distributable earnings, despite some litigation liabilities. The Q&A section reveals positive sentiment towards future fundraising and performance fees, with management's conservative guidance suggesting potential upside. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price prediction.

PAX Earnings

PAX Earnings

Quarterly Results

PAX Earnings Forecast

Earnings Forecast

Earnings Surprise Analysis

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Frequently Asked Questions

What were the key highlights of PAX's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

How did PAX's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

What are the revenue and EPS estimates for PAX for 2026/Q1?

How does PAX's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

What should investors expect from PAX's next earnings report?

What is the sentiment in Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?