MAT Earnings

MAT reported its earnings on 2026-02-10, showcasing a revenue of 1.77B against an estimate of 1.84B, resulting in a -3.99% surprise. The EPS was 0.39, surpassing the expected 0.53 by -26.42%. The stock experienced a -24.98% price change on the earnings day and a -20.04% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following MAT's earnings announcement on 2026-02-10, the stock price moved by -24.98% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -20.04% change. Historically, MAT's stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.68% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 2.1% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate MAT's annual revenue to reach 844.68M, while the EPS is projected at -0.08. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between MAT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, MAT's stock price typically moves by -1.68% in the 10 days before its earnings and 2.1% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.08 and revenue of 844.68M.

The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive elements like a strong holiday season outlook, strategic investments, and significant share repurchases, there are also concerns such as declining operations income, conservative retailer behavior, and cautious guidance for 2026. The Q&A reveals uncertainty in specific metrics and a transition year impacting the bottom line. The balance between these factors suggests a neutral stock price movement prediction.