KKR Should I Buy
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KKR is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor. The stock is currently in a bearish trend with weak technical indicators, and while there are some positive catalysts, the financial performance and options sentiment suggest caution. It is better to wait for a clearer entry point.
The technical indicators for KKR are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding, RSI is neutral at 29.635, and the moving averages show a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near the support level of 92.839, with resistance at 105.82. The overall trend indicates downward pressure.
Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions in KKR, with a 604.51% rise in buying over the last quarter.
Analysts from RBC Capital and Morgan Stanley see the current price as an attractive entry point, with price targets of $137 and $177, respectively.
KKR's involvement in the growing private equity sector, which accounted for 40% of global M&A activity in 2025, could drive future growth.
The stock has declined 22% year-to-date, reflecting broader investor caution.
Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a decline in net income (-1.78% YoY), EPS (-1.69% YoY), and gross margin (-8.63% YoY), despite a revenue increase.
Options sentiment is bearish, with a high put-call ratio and implied volatility at the 88th percentile.
In Q4 2025, KKR's revenue increased by 59.14% YoY to $7.51 billion, but net income dropped by 1.78% YoY to $1.11 billion. EPS also declined by 1.69% YoY to 1.16, and gross margin fell by 8.63% YoY to 55.46%. While revenue growth is strong, profitability metrics are under pressure.
Analysts have mixed opinions. RBC Capital initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $137 price target, seeing the recent selloff as an entry point. Morgan Stanley also sees an attractive entry point with a $177 price target. However, UBS, TD Cowen, and others have lowered price targets, citing macroeconomic concerns and shifting dynamics in the asset management space.
