IP Should I Buy
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International Paper Co is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators show a bearish trend, options data reflects neutral sentiment, and the stock faces significant headwinds from prolonged transformation costs and industry challenges. Despite some positive financial growth in revenue and gross margin, the company is still reporting negative net income and EPS. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with some downgrades and reduced price targets. For a patient, long-term investor, it may be better to wait for clearer positive catalysts or stabilization in the company's transformation efforts.
The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.666), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 20.731, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but not yet signaling a reversal. Moving averages are converging, indicating indecision in the market. Key support is at 42.976, which the stock is close to breaching, with resistance at 46.188. The stock has a 70% chance to decline further in the short term (-3.84% in the next day, -3.72% in the next week, -8.26% in the next month).
Analysts like RBC Capital and Truist remain optimistic about long-term supply rationalization and pricing power in the containerboard market.
The company reported a significant net loss (-$2.38 billion) and negative EPS (-4.
in Q4
Analysts like UBS downgraded the stock, citing a challenging outlook. The stock is expected to face further short-term declines based on historical patterns.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 31.14% YoY to $6.006 billion. However, the company reported a net loss of $2.384 billion, a 1521.77% YoY increase in losses. EPS was -4.52, up 976.19% YoY. Gross margin improved to 19.75%, up 8.88% YoY.
Analyst ratings are mixed. UBS downgraded the stock to Neutral with a reduced price target of $44, citing prolonged transformation costs. Citi raised the price target to $47 and maintained a Buy rating. RBC Capital lowered the price target to $54 but remains Outperform. Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to Equal Weight with a price target of $40, reflecting a balanced risk/reward profile.
