HBM Earnings

HBM reported its earnings on 2026-02-20, showcasing a revenue of 732.90M against an estimate of 772.63M, resulting in a -5.14% surprise. The EPS was 0.22, surpassing the expected 0.4 by -45%. The stock experienced a 0.97% price change on the earnings day and a 12% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following HBM's earnings announcement on 2026-02-20, the stock price moved by 0.97% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 12% change. Historically, HBM's stock price tends to shift by an average of -4.02% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 2.66% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate HBM's annual revenue to reach 701.99M, while the EPS is projected at 0.38. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised downward by -0.04% and EPS estimates revised upward by 0.26% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between HBM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were revised downward by -0.04%, while EPS estimates moved revised upward by 0.26%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, HBM's stock price typically moves by -4.02% in the 10 days before its earnings and 2.66% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.38 and revenue of 701.99M.

The earnings call reveals strong financial health with reduced debt, high liquidity, and improved net debt-to-EBITDA ratio. The Copper World project is fully funded, and there's a strategic partnership with Mitsubishi. Despite some production challenges, the company anticipates higher production in the latter half of the year and plans for dividend increases. The Q&A highlights management's confidence in sustaining gold production and balancing capital allocation. However, there are uncertainties around permits in Peru and some production delays. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive stock movement.