GROY Should I Buy
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Gold Royalty Corp (GROY) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the stock has shown positive price momentum and bullish technical indicators, the lack of significant recent news, weak financial performance, and mixed analyst ratings suggest caution. The investor may consider holding off for better financial results or clearer positive catalysts.
The technical indicators are bullish with a positively expanding MACD, RSI at 69.905 in the neutral zone, and moving averages showing a bullish trend (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 4.647), which may limit immediate upside potential.
Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Scotiabank and Maxim indicating higher gold price forecasts and production growth.
The stock has been the best-performing gold royalty stock in 2025, rallying 307% since the end of 2024.
Financial performance in Q3 2025 showed a significant drop in net income (-133.10% YoY) and EPS (-150.00% YoY), despite revenue growth.
Canaccord downgraded the stock to Hold, citing valuation concerns and a premium to net asset value.
No significant recent news or event-driven catalysts.
In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 101.36% YoY to $4,148,000, but net income dropped to -$1,133,000 (-133.10% YoY), and EPS fell to -0.01 (-150.00% YoY). Gross margin also declined to 70.44% (-6.50% YoY), indicating profitability challenges.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Scotiabank and Maxim raised price targets to $6 and $7, respectively, citing higher gold price forecasts and acquisitions. However, Canaccord downgraded the stock to Hold with a price target of $5, citing valuation concerns. The consensus outlook is cautiously optimistic but not overwhelmingly positive.
