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The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook. The company shows strong financial performance, strategic growth in key areas like Clover, and effective execution of plans. Despite some areas lacking clarity, management's optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement.
Total Company Q4 Adjusted Revenue $4.9 billion, flat year-over-year. Reasons: Stable broad-based business activity trends.
Total Company Full Year Adjusted Revenue $19.8 billion, up 4% year-over-year. Reasons: Broad-based business activity trends.
Adjusted Operating Income (Q4) $1.7 billion, resulting in an adjusted operating margin of 34.9%. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Adjusted Operating Income (Full Year) $7.4 billion, resulting in an adjusted operating margin of 37.4%, a decrease of 200 basis points. Reasons: Investments in the franchise and higher mix of nonrecurring revenue.
Total Company Organic Revenue (Q4) Roughly flat, down approximately 40 basis points year-over-year. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Total Company Organic Revenue (Full Year) 3.8% growth, in the upper half of the 3.5% to 4% guidance range. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Merchant Solutions Organic Revenue Growth (Full Year) 6% growth. Reasons: Broad-based business activity trends.
Financial Solutions Organic Revenue Growth (Full Year) 2% growth. Reasons: Broad-based business activity trends.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (Q4) $1.99. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (Full Year) $8.64, above guidance range of $8.50 to $8.60. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Free Cash Flow (Q4) $1.6 billion. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Free Cash Flow (Full Year) $4.44 billion, ahead of guidance of $4.25 billion, representing approximately 93% conversion. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Merchant Solutions Organic Revenue Growth (Q4) 1% growth. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Merchant Solutions Adjusted Revenue Growth (Q4) 2% growth. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Small Business Revenue Organic Growth (Q4) 2% growth. Reasons: Impact of CCV acquisition and FX headwind.
Small Business Revenue Adjusted Growth (Q4) 3% growth. Reasons: Impact of CCV acquisition and FX headwind.
Clover Revenue Growth (Q4) 12% growth. Reasons: Fee eliminations and softness in U.S. restaurant and retail sectors.
Clover Revenue (Full Year) $3.3 billion, up 23%. Reasons: Fee eliminations and softness in U.S. restaurant and retail sectors.
Enterprise Business Organic Revenue Growth (Q4) 1% growth. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Enterprise Business Adjusted Revenue Growth (Q4) Declined 2%. Reasons: Network fee timing associated with a large PayFac client.
Processing Organic Revenue Growth (Q4) Declined 1%. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Processing Adjusted Revenue Growth (Q4) 1% growth. Reasons: FX tailwinds.
Financial Solutions Organic Revenue Growth (Q4) Declined 2%. Reasons: Comparative headwinds and actions taken over the last several years.
Financial Solutions Adjusted Revenue Growth (Q4) Declined 2%. Reasons: Comparative headwinds and actions taken over the last several years.
Digital Payments Organic Revenue Growth (Q4) Declined 1%. Reasons: Slowing growth curve for Zelle and ATM Managed Services headwind.
Digital Payments Adjusted Revenue Growth (Q4) Declined 1%. Reasons: Slowing growth curve for Zelle and ATM Managed Services headwind.
Issuing Revenue Organic Growth (Q4) Declined 1%. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Issuing Revenue Adjusted Growth (Q4) Declined 1%. Reasons: Stable business activity trends.
Banking Revenue Organic Growth (Q4) Declined 4%. Reasons: Comparative headwinds and actions taken over the last several years.
Banking Revenue Adjusted Growth (Q4) Declined 3%. Reasons: Comparative headwinds and actions taken over the last several years.
Clover Hospitality brand: Expanded offerings under the Clover Hospitality brand, including multi-location support, AI-generated menus, streamlined delivery enrollment, and new diner engagement tools.
PracticePay health care initiative: On track to launch this initiative, targeting the healthcare sector.
CashFlow Central: Integrated into ADP's RUN platform, allowing small businesses to manage cash flow more effectively.
Commerce Hub: Launched a fully integrated cloud-native global omnichannel gateway across the Americas, processing over $200 billion in 2025.
CoreAdvance and Finxact: Went live with first clients on CoreAdvance; Finxact platform surpassed 30 million total accounts, representing over 80% growth in 2025.
Vision Next: Building out next-gen card issuing platform.
International expansion: Successful launch in Brazil, strong growth in Canada, and introduction of Clover in Japan through a partnership with SMCC.
Clover referral ecosystem: Added 47 banks to the ecosystem and expanded partnerships with Truist and other institutions.
AI-driven efficiencies: Implemented AI tools for merchant onboarding, prospecting, and lifecycle orchestration.
Project Elevate: Enterprise-wide evaluation to simplify business and improve efficiency, including deploying AI across operations.
One Fiserv plan: Focused on client-first mindset, operational excellence, and disciplined capital allocation.
Stablecoin initiatives: Exploring pilots with banks for cross-border payments, digital escrow, and interbank money movement.
Agentic commerce: Developing capabilities in partnership with Google, Mastercard, and Visa to bring agentic commerce to mainstream.
Revenue Growth Challenges: The company expects organic revenue growth in the range of 1% to 3% for 2026, with adjusted revenue growth also in the same range. However, the first half of 2026 is expected to see low single-digit declines in adjusted revenue growth, with Q2 being the trough. Financial Solutions revenue is expected to be flat to slightly down, reflecting higher nonrecurring revenue in the prior year.
Clover Volume and Revenue Growth: Clover volume growth was below expectations in Q4, driven by softness in the U.S. restaurant and retail sectors in November. While volumes reaccelerated in December and January, the company expects Clover revenue growth to be in the low double digits for 2026, which is below its medium-term target of 15% to 20%.
Financial Solutions Segment Decline: The Financial Solutions segment saw a 2% decline in both organic and adjusted revenue in Q4. Banking revenue decreased 4% on an organic basis, and the segment continues to face comparative headwinds, which are expected to persist through the first half of 2026.
Operating Margin Pressure: The adjusted operating margin for the company is expected to be approximately 34% for 2026, with the first half of the year seeing lower margins (31% to 32%) due to strategic investments and other factors. Q1 is expected to be the low point, with margins just below 30%.
Macroeconomic and Sector-Specific Risks: Softness in the U.S. restaurant and retail sectors impacted Clover volumes in Q4. Broader macroeconomic conditions and sector-specific challenges could continue to affect performance in these areas.
Project Elevate Costs: The company incurred $73 million in expenses related to Project Elevate in Q4 and expects additional one-time costs in 2026, which could impact financial performance.
2026 Organic Revenue Growth: Expected to be in the range of 1% to 3%, with Merchant Solutions revenue growth in the mid-single digits and Financial Solutions flat to slightly down.
Adjusted Revenue Growth: Expected to decline in the low single digits for the first half of 2026, with Q2 representing the trough. Adjusted revenue growth in the second half of the year is expected to align more closely with volume, transaction, and account growth.
Adjusted EPS: Guidance for 2026 is $8 to $8.30.
Adjusted Operating Margin: Expected to be approximately 34% for 2026, with the first half at 31% to 32% and the second half at 35% to 36%. Q4 is expected to represent the high point at 36%.
Capital Expenditures: Expected to remain approximately flat with 2025 levels.
Free Cash Flow Conversion: Expected to be approximately 90% of adjusted net income for 2026, with Q1 being the trough for free cash flow conversion.
Leverage Ratio: Expected to end 2026 with a leverage ratio of approximately 3x.
Clover Revenue Growth: Expected to grow in the low double digits for 2026, with a medium-term target of 15% to 20% growth.
Clover GPV Growth: Expected to grow 10% to 15% in 2026, excluding the gateway conversion.
Share Repurchase: We also repurchased 3 million shares during the quarter for approximately $200 million and paid down over $1 billion in debt after funding the acquisitions of StoneCastle and a portfolio of TD merchant contracts.
Future Share Repurchase Plans: To the extent we generate any excess cash from business and asset optimization activities, we intend to deploy this additional cash to share repurchase.
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook. The company shows strong financial performance, strategic growth in key areas like Clover, and effective execution of plans. Despite some areas lacking clarity, management's optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement.
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