FAT Earnings

FAT reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 140.01M against an estimate of 144.90M, resulting in a -3.38% surprise. The EPS was -2.67, surpassing the expected -2.43 by -9.88%. The stock experienced a -1.12% price change on the earnings day and a -2.23% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following FAT's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by -1.12% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.23% change. Historically, FAT's stock price tends to shift by an average of 1.02% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -9.63% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate FAT's annual revenue to reach 140.05M, while the EPS is projected at -2.40. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between FAT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, FAT's stock price typically moves by 1.02% in the 10 days before its earnings and -9.63% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -2.40 and revenue of 140.05M.

The earnings call reveals a decrease in total revenues and increased expenses, leading to a higher net loss. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties around debt restructuring and reduced store opening targets. Despite some positive developments like improved margins at Twin Peaks, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial losses, restructuring delays, and reduced growth expectations. The lack of clear guidance on debt restructuring further contributes to the negative outlook, suggesting a potential stock price decline over the next two weeks.