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The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with 19% ARR growth and optimistic guidance for 2026, including a significant TAM expansion through the Corellium acquisition. The Q&A section provides additional positive insights, such as strategic investments in AI and mobile forensics, and confidence in federal sector growth. However, there are minor concerns regarding cost impacts from acquisitions and FX headwinds. Considering the company's market cap, the overall sentiment is positive, with expected stock price movement in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) ARR grew 21% to $481 million in 2025, including Corellium's contribution of $16.1 million. Excluding Corellium, ARR grew 17% year-over-year. Growth was driven by expansion across major geographies and flagship offerings.
Revenue Revenue grew 18% in Q4 to $128.8 million and 19% for the full year to $475.7 million. Growth was primarily driven by software solutions, which accounted for 90% of total revenue.
Free Cash Flow Free cash flow for 2025 was $160 million, representing a 34% margin and a 30% year-over-year increase from $124 million in 2024. Growth was attributed to ongoing spend discipline and strong operational performance.
Gross Margin Gross margin for Q4 was 86%, and for the full year, it was 85%. This reflects strong profitability from software solutions.
Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $38.3 million, a 33% increase year-over-year, with a margin of 29.8%. For the full year, adjusted EBITDA was $127.6 million, representing a 26.8% margin. Growth was supported by balanced investments and operational efficiency.
Geographical ARR Growth The Americas grew 19%, EMEA grew 24%, and Asia Pacific grew 23%. Growth was led by U.S. state and local government and Latin America teams in the Americas.
SaaS and Cloud ARR ARR for SaaS and cloud offerings grew over 50% and now represents 22% of total ARR. Guardian Forensics achieved over 100% year-over-year growth for six consecutive quarters.
Inseyets offering: Cemented as the gold standard in digital forensics, with 55% of the installed base converted, exceeding the 50% target.
SaaS and cloud-based offerings: Strong adoption with ARR growth of over 50%, now representing 22% of total ARR.
Guardian Forensics: Achieved six consecutive quarters of 100%+ year-on-year growth, becoming the industry's de facto repository for critical evidence.
Corellium acquisition: Completed in December 2025, with its ARM virtualization technology exceeding expectations in customer interest and growth potential.
Drone forensics: New strategic focus with the acquisition of SCG Canada, addressing the growing need for drone forensic capabilities.
Geographical ARR growth: Americas grew 19%, EMEA grew 24%, and Asia Pacific grew 23%.
U.S. Federal segment: Expected to reaccelerate growth in 2026 after flat performance in 2025, supported by federal funding and new authorizations.
Global certifications: Anticipated certifications in Australia, New Zealand, and select European nations to expand market reach.
Free cash flow: Generated $160 million in 2025, with a 34% margin, representing 30% growth over 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA: Achieved $127.6 million in 2025, with a margin of 26.8%, despite FX headwinds.
Sales team expansion: Increased sales executives by 20% and invested in enablement and training.
AI and GenAI integration: Focused on applying AI for productivity, customer retention, and monetizing applications for various use cases like cybercrime and major investigations.
Product innovation: Launch of Guardian Investigate in 2026, targeting criminal investigators with advanced AI-enabled analytics.
Rule of X performance: Shifted focus to ARR growth and free cash flow margin as key metrics, aiming for a Rule of X in the upper 40s to 50+.
U.S. Federal Unit Performance: The U.S. Federal unit experienced a 4-point headwind in ARR growth due to underperformance against the original plan in 2025. This segment faced disruptions, though these are expected to be resolved in 2026.
CFIUS Clearance for Corellium: The acquisition of Corellium is still awaiting final clearance from the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), which could delay full integration and growth realization.
Regulatory Approvals for FedRAMP Level 4: The lengthy 18-month process to obtain DOJ-sponsored authorization for FedRAMP Level 4 has delayed the deployment of Guardian and cloud assets in the U.S. Federal market.
Foreign Exchange Volatility: The strengthening of the Israeli shekel against the U.S. dollar has created a material headwind, impacting profitability and financial performance.
Integration of Corellium: The transition from a reseller to a fully integrated selling motion for Corellium requires significant education and training, which could slow short-term growth.
Drone Forensics Market Entry: The acquisition of SCG Canada to enter the drone forensics market represents a new and emerging area, but its current small scale and the need for integration pose risks to immediate returns.
AI and Ethical Use: While AI is seen as a growth driver, its ethical use and traceability in sensitive areas like crime and sovereign defense require careful management to maintain trust and compliance.
Revenue Growth: Cellebrite expects revenue growth of 19% to 20% in 2026, with revenue projected to be in the range of $565 million to $571 million.
ARR Growth: Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is expected to grow by 18% to 19% in 2026, reaching $567 million to $573 million. ARR growth is driven by new customer acquisitions, product upgrades, and increased adoption of solutions like Guardian and Pathfinder.
Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $149 million to $155 million, with a margin of 26% to 27% for 2026.
Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow margins are expected to exceed 30% in 2026, continuing strong cash generation.
U.S. Federal Segment Growth: The U.S. Federal segment is expected to reaccelerate growth in 2026, exceeding the company's overall growth rate, driven by pent-up demand, increased federal funding, and the anticipated FedRAMP Level 4 authorization.
Product Launches and Market Expansion: Cellebrite plans to launch Guardian Investigate in spring 2026, targeting criminal investigators and prosecutors. The company also expects to expand certifications in Australia, New Zealand, and select European nations.
Corellium Integration: Corellium is expected to contribute significantly to growth, exceeding the company's overall growth rates. The integration is expected to drive meaningful growth across public and private sectors.
Drone Forensics Market: Cellebrite anticipates significant growth in the drone forensics market, with the acquisition of SCG Canada expected to close by Q1 2026. The drone market is projected to grow over 20% annually, reaching $53 billion by 2026.
AI and GenAI Initiatives: Cellebrite plans to leverage AI and GenAI to enhance productivity, customer retention, and develop new applications for investigations, including child exploitation and cybercrime cases.
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The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with 19% ARR growth and optimistic guidance for 2026, including a significant TAM expansion through the Corellium acquisition. The Q&A section provides additional positive insights, such as strategic investments in AI and mobile forensics, and confidence in federal sector growth. However, there are minor concerns regarding cost impacts from acquisitions and FX headwinds. Considering the company's market cap, the overall sentiment is positive, with expected stock price movement in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with optimistic guidance, particularly in ARR and revenue growth. The Corellium acquisition and FedRAMP authorization are strategic positives. The Q&A reveals confidence in resolving CFIUS issues and strong demand in defense and intelligence sectors. Despite some management vagueness, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strategic initiatives and growth prospects.
The earnings call summary provides a mixed picture. While there is strong ARR growth and positive developments in AI and cloud innovations, the reduction in full-year revenue guidance and weaker U.S. federal environment are concerns. The Q&A section highlights confidence in federal spending recovery and strong renewal rates, but also notes timing issues impacting ARR. The company's market cap suggests moderate stock volatility. Overall, the combination of positive long-term growth drivers and current challenges leads to a neutral sentiment, with stock price likely moving between -2% and 2% in the next two weeks.
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