CARR Should I Buy
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Carrier Global Corp (CARR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While there are positive catalysts such as hedge fund interest and new product launches, the company's weak financial performance, lack of strong technical signals, and cautious sentiment from Congress trading data suggest waiting for a clearer entry point.
The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 45.132, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 61.103), but no strong bullish signals are present.
Hedge funds have significantly increased their positions in the industrials sector, including CARR.
Carrier launched the AquaEdge® 30CF chiller, targeting the growing data center market.
Analysts have raised price targets recently, with RBC, Baird, and Citi highlighting strong growth in Commercial HVAC and multi-year secular drivers.
Congress members have shown a cautious attitude, with 4 sale transactions and no purchases in the last 90 days.
Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue down 6.04% YoY, net income down 97.92% YoY, and EPS down 97.91% YoY.
Post-market price dropped by -1.23%, indicating potential bearish sentiment.
Carrier Global's Q4 2025 financials showed significant declines: revenue dropped to $4.837 billion (-6.04% YoY), net income dropped to $53 million (-97.92% YoY), and EPS dropped to $0.06 (-97.91% YoY). Gross margin also declined to 20.28% (-22.65% YoY), reflecting operational challenges.
Recent analyst ratings are generally positive, with RBC, Baird, and Citi raising price targets to $72-$74 and maintaining Outperform/Buy ratings. However, some analysts (e.g., Morgan Stanley, Mizuho) have lowered price targets, citing uneven terrain and sector challenges.
