CAE Earnings

CAE reported its earnings on 2026-02-12, showcasing a revenue of 898.18M against an estimate of 901.60M, resulting in a -0.38% surprise. The EPS was 0.24, surpassing the expected 0.22 by 9.09%. The stock experienced a -3.7% price change on the earnings day and a -5.39% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following CAE's earnings announcement on 2026-02-12, the stock price moved by -3.7% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -5.39% change. Historically, CAE's stock price tends to shift by an average of 0.08% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -2.4% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q4, analysts estimate CAE's annual revenue to reach 1.38B, while the EPS is projected at 0.48. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between CAE's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, CAE's stock price typically moves by 0.08% in the 10 days before its earnings and -2.4% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.48 and revenue of 1.38B.

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with record free cash flow, increased orders, and a growing backlog. Despite challenges in the commercial aviation sector, defense revenues and margins are expanding. The Q&A session reveals confidence in defense margin expansion and prudent capital management. While there are some operational risks, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by optimistic guidance and strategic investments. The absence of share buybacks and focus on deleveraging are neutral factors, but the strong financial metrics and backlog growth suggest a positive stock price movement.