ASML Earnings

ASML reported its earnings on 2026-01-28, showcasing a revenue of 11.31B against an estimate of 11.11B, resulting in a 1.83% surprise. The EPS was 8.55, surpassing the expected 9.01 by -5.11%. The stock experienced a -2.18% price change on the earnings day and a -0.91% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following ASML's earnings announcement on 2026-01-28, the stock price moved by -2.18% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -0.91% change. Historically, ASML's stock price tends to shift by an average of 0.83% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 1.67% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate ASML's annual revenue to reach 7.85B, while the EPS is projected at 5.63. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates revised downward by -0.05% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between ASML's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved revised downward by -0.05%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, ASML's stock price typically moves by 0.83% in the 10 days before its earnings and 1.67% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 5.63 and revenue of 7.85B.

The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with increased revenue, net income, and operating cash flow. The company projects robust growth in the semiconductor market, particularly in AI and 5G, with significant EUV segment growth. Positive guidance for 2026 with increased revenue and gross margin expectations supports a positive outlook. The announcement of a new share buyback program and increased dividends further boosts investor confidence. Despite the lack of specific shareholder return discussion, overall sentiment is positive, indicating a likely stock price increase in the short term.