AGM Earnings

AGM reported its earnings on 2026-02-19, showcasing a revenue of 107.91M against an estimate of 107.45M, resulting in a 0.43% surprise. The EPS was 3.66, surpassing the expected 4.49 by -18.49%. The stock experienced a -14.12% price change on the earnings day and a -8.04% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following AGM's earnings announcement on 2026-02-19, the stock price moved by -14.12% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -8.04% change. Historically, AGM's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.56% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 1.98% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate AGM's annual revenue to reach 104.24M, while the EPS is projected at 4.56. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between AGM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, AGM's stock price typically moves by -0.56% in the 10 days before its earnings and 1.98% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 4.56 and revenue of 104.24M.

The earnings call reflects strong growth in key segments like infrastructure finance and renewable energy, despite increased operating expenses. Management's optimistic outlook for 2026, with expected segment growth and a stable credit outlook, indicates a positive sentiment. The 7% dividend increase, although modest, supports shareholder returns. The Q&A session reveals no systemic credit issues, and management's strategic focus on growth and efficiency is promising. Given the company's market cap, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement within the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.