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The earnings report shows mixed signals: strong silver production and revenue, cash reserves, and increased dividends are positive. However, challenges like operational issues, increased costs, and uncertainties related to SAT and Jerritt Canyon pose risks. The Q&A reveals management's cautious approach to cash utilization and lack of clarity on tax issues. Given the small-cap nature of the company, these mixed factors are likely to result in a neutral stock price movement.
Pure Silver Production 4.2 million ounces in Q4 2025, over 15 million ounces for the year. This was higher than revised guidance due to operational improvements.
Silver Equivalent Production 31 million ounces for the year, exceeding revised guidance due to operational efficiency and higher metal prices.
Revenue $1.2 billion, almost $1.3 billion for 2025, a significant milestone attributed to higher production and improved metal prices.
Realized Price Q4 average was just under $59, and the annual average was $41.52, reflecting effective pricing strategies.
Mint Revenue Generated just under $23 million in Q4 and $50 million for the year, with $24 million in profitability, attributed to strong operational performance.
Cash Flow Record cash flows due to higher metal prices, increased production, and cost containment.
Free Cash Flow Steady increase over the year, with a significant step change in Q4 2025 due to operational discipline and cost containment.
All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) Missed targets due to a collapse in the silver equivalent ratio, increasing costs by about $1 per ounce.
Marketable Securities Increased by $140 million in 2025, reflecting strong investment performance.
Cash Position $940 million in the bank, including restricted and unrestricted cash, supported by strong cash flows and marketable securities.
Mint Operations: Generated just under $23 million in Q4 2025 and $50 million for the year, with $24 million profitability. Record-breaking performance.
Santa Elena Plant Expansion: Investing in plant expansion to increase capacity from 3,200 tonnes/day to 3,500 tonnes/day by H2 2026.
Gatos Mine Integration: Successfully integrated Gatos mine, targeting cost reductions and resource growth.
Silver Production: Produced 4.2 million pure silver ounces in Q4 2025 and over 15 million for the year. Silver equivalent production exceeded revised guidance at 31 million ounces.
Revenue Growth: Achieved nearly $1.3 billion in revenue for 2025, driven by higher silver prices and operational strategies.
Free Cash Flow: Steady increase in free cash flow, with significant growth in Q4 2025 due to operational discipline and cost containment.
Operational Efficiencies at La Encantada: Turnaround success with 1 million ounces of silver produced in Q4 2025. Internalizing haulage for further cost improvements.
Dividend Policy: Doubled dividend policy from 1% to 2% of revenue starting Q1 2026, reflecting confidence in financial strength.
Exploration Program: Completed 266 kilometers of drilling in 2025, with significant discoveries at Santa Elena and other sites.
All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) Miss: The company acknowledged a miss on the all-in sustaining costs (AISC) due to the conversion of byproduct metal to silver. This resulted in a $1 increase in AISC, which could impact profitability.
Silver Equivalent Ratio Volatility: The collapse of the silver equivalent ratio towards the end of the year caused a reduction in production by 1.4 million silver equivalent ounces, affecting overall output and cost metrics.
Provision Related to SAT: The company recognized a provision related to SAT, which has not yet been paid. This ongoing issue could pose financial and operational uncertainties.
Cash Payments in Mexico: The company anticipates significant cash payments in Q1 and Q2 related to 2025, which could impact cash flow and liquidity.
Water Challenges and Haulage Issues at La Encantada: Operational challenges such as water shortages and haulage issues at the La Encantada mine have impacted production, although improvements are underway.
2026 Production Guidance: Targeting 13-14 million pure silver ounces, 110,000-130,000 ounces of gold, and additional lead and zinc production. Conversion ratio locked at 75:1 to reduce external factor noise.
Santa Elena Plant Expansion: Investing in plant expansion to increase capacity from 3,100-3,200 tonnes per day to 3,500 tonnes per day by H2 2026.
Gatos Mine Expansion: Targeting sustainable mine throughput of 4,000 tonnes per day, up from 3,500 tonnes per day.
Dividend Policy Increase: Doubling dividend policy from 1% to 2% of top-line revenue effective Q1 2026.
Exploration and Reserve Updates: 266 kilometers of drilling planned across operations in 2026, with updated reserve and resource estimates expected by March 31, 2026.
Operational Improvements at La Encantada: Internalizing haulage to improve costs and operational efficiencies.
Dividend Policy: The company declared dividends for Q4 and announced an increase in its dividend policy effective 2026. The dividend policy has been doubled from 1% of the top line to 2% of the top line revenue.
The earnings report shows mixed signals: strong silver production and revenue, cash reserves, and increased dividends are positive. However, challenges like operational issues, increased costs, and uncertainties related to SAT and Jerritt Canyon pose risks. The Q&A reveals management's cautious approach to cash utilization and lack of clarity on tax issues. Given the small-cap nature of the company, these mixed factors are likely to result in a neutral stock price movement.
Despite revenue miss and cost pressures, the company reported record high revenue, EBITDA, and cash flows, indicating strong financial performance. Increased production and exploration spending suggest growth potential. While there are concerns about costs and integration, these are largely one-time or manageable. The company's dividend policy and positive synergies from integration are additional positives. The market cap of $1.73 billion suggests the stock may react more strongly to positive news, leading to a positive prediction for the stock price movement.
The company achieved record cash flow and met production guidance, indicating strong operational performance. Despite missing EPS expectations, optimistic guidance and cost improvement expectations mitigate concerns. The continuation of the share buyback program signals confidence in the company's value. While integration challenges and market risks exist, the strong cash position and liquidity provide a buffer. The Q&A section reveals a focus on strengthening the balance sheet and a positive outlook on silver prices, enhancing the sentiment. Given the market cap, a moderate positive reaction is expected.
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