AAOI Earnings

AAOI reported its earnings on 2026-02-26, showcasing a revenue of against an estimate of 134.34M, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected -0.11 by 0%. The stock experienced a 56.88% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following AAOI's earnings announcement on 2026-02-26, the stock price moved by 56.88% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0% change. Historically, AAOI's stock price tends to shift by an average of 3.48% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 17.66% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate AAOI's annual revenue to reach 145.72M, while the EPS is projected at -0.05. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between AAOI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, AAOI's stock price typically moves by 3.48% in the 10 days before its earnings and 17.66% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.05 and revenue of 145.72M.

The earnings call indicates strong growth in data center and CATV revenues, with a significant year-over-year increase. Gross margin improvement and narrowing net loss are positive signs. The Q&A reveals confidence in future 800G revenue and manufacturing expansion, despite some management vagueness. The overall sentiment is positive due to robust demand and optimistic future guidance, particularly in data centers, and a strategic focus on U.S. manufacturing to mitigate tariff impacts.