The analyst rating from Macquarie for MGM CHINA is "Outperform" due to several positive factors highlighted in their research report. The company's 4Q25 results exceeded forecasts, with net revenue increasing by 21% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter, reaching HKD9.62 billion, which was 6% higher than Macquarie's expectations. Additionally, MGM CHINA's gross gaming revenue (GGR) also grew by 21% year-over-year and 11% quarter-over-quarter, surpassing Macquarie's forecast by 3.1%. Furthermore, the planned upgrade of hotel rooms is expected to enhance MGM CHINA's high-end appeal and boost its market share, contributing to a positive outlook for the company. As a result, Macquarie raised its target price for MGM CHINA by 1%, from HKD21.3 to HKD21.6.

CICC

maintain

$16.1

2026-02-09

Reason

CICC

Price Target

$16.1

2026-02-09

maintain

Reason

The analyst rating for MGM China (02282.HK) is maintained as "Outperform" due to the company's strong performance in 4Q25, which included net revenue of RMB9.617 billion, significantly surpassing pre-pandemic levels and street consensus estimates. The high-end business has been a key driver, with gross gaming revenue (GGR) for MGM Cotai and MGM Macau recovering to 214% and 104% of the levels seen in the same period of 2019, respectively. The broker also upheld its EBITDA forecasts for 2026 and 2027, supporting the positive outlook and a target price of HKD16.1.

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Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for (02282.HK) is 9.07, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 27.75. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess 's fair value, Click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

27.75

Current PE

9.07

Overvalued PE

145.43

Undervalued PE

-89.94

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

18.49

Current EV/EBITDA

6.83

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

54.40

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

-17.43

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PS

1.83

Current PS

1.44

Overvalued PS

2.65

Undervalued PS

1.00

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The current price of 02282 is 12.38 USD — it has decreased -1.12

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Wall Street analysts forecast 02282 stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for 02282 is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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