Winter Storm Fern to Impact Natural Gas Production, Excelerate Energy Stock Soars 28%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 25 2026
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Natural Gas Price Surge: Natural gas prices have jumped 70% in less than two weeks, reaching record highs, which has driven Excelerate Energy (EE) stock up 28% this month, reflecting strong market demand and renewed investor confidence in natural gas supply.
- Production Loss Estimates: Natural gas production is projected to decrease by 10 to 80 billion cubic feet, similar to the 30 billion cubic feet loss caused by Winter Storm Uri in 2021, potentially leading to supply tightness and impacting price volatility in the market.
- Utility Challenges: Heavy snow and freezing rain could lead to widespread power outages for utilities like Exelon (EXC) and NRG Energy (NRG), with analysts projecting a 42% upside for NRG's stock price, indicating confidence in its recovery capabilities amid adverse weather conditions.
- Infrastructure Investment Opportunities: As concerns over grid reliability increase, companies like Quanta Power Services (PWR) may benefit from power line repairs and infrastructure investments, with analysts expecting this to drive long-term investment growth in the energy sector.
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Analyst Views on EE
Wall Street analysts forecast EE stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 40.250
Low
29.00
Averages
38.67
High
50.00
Current: 40.250
Low
29.00
Averages
38.67
High
50.00
About EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. is a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company. It offers a full range of services, including floating storage and regasification units (FSRUs), LNG import infrastructure development, and LNG and natural gas supply. It operates a fleet of 10 purpose-built FSRUs, has completed more than 3,000 ship-to-ship (STS) transfers of LNG with over 50 LNG operators and delivered more than 7,400 billion cubic feet of natural gas through 16 LNG regasification terminals. In addition to standard LNG carrier functionality, its purpose-built FSRUs have the onboard capability to vaporize LNG and deliver natural gas through specially designed offshore and near-shore receiving facilities. It also has operations at the Montego Bay LNG Terminal, the Old Harbour LNG Terminal, and the Clarendon combined heat and power plant in Jamaica. Its business spans the globe, with regional offices in over 11 countries and operations in Argentina, Brazil, Finland, Germany, the UAE, the U.S., and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Excelerate Energy Reports Record Q4 2025 Earnings and Growth Outlook
- Record EBITDA Achievement: Excelerate Energy reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $449 million for 2025, reflecting a $100 million increase year-over-year, driven by contributions from the Jamaica acquisition and growth in LNG, gas, and power activities, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management introduced 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $515 million to $545 million, representing an over $80 million increase from 2025 results, indicating a solid growth trajectory based on existing assets and contracts.
- Strategic Investment in Iraq: The total estimated capital cost for the Iraq LNG import terminal is projected to range between $520 million and $550 million, with the FSRU cost around $370 million, highlighting the company's commitment to strategic investments in key markets that will drive future revenue growth.
- Shareholder Return Initiatives: The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share and a $75 million share repurchase program, targeting a low double-digit annual dividend growth rate starting in 2026, which is expected to further bolster investor confidence.
See More
Excelerate Energy Q4 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Excelerate Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.29, missing expectations by $0.07, indicating potential pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $317.6 million, a 15.7% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $14.01 million, demonstrating its competitive position and sales growth potential in the market.
- 2026 Guidance: The adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is expected to range between $515 million and $545 million, reflecting the company's confidence in future profitability, while maintenance capital expenditures are projected between $100 million and $110 million, indicating a continued commitment to infrastructure investments.
- Growth Capital Commitment: Committed growth capital is expected to range between $370 million and $400 million, highlighting the company's ongoing investment in previously approved capital projects to support its long-term growth strategy.
See More
Excelerate Energy to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 25
- Earnings Announcement Date: Excelerate Energy is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings on February 25 after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.36, reflecting a 10% year-over-year decline, while revenue is projected at $303.59 million, indicating a 10.6% year-over-year increase, which could significantly impact the company's stock performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Excelerate Energy has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, indicating a level of stability and market confidence in the company's financial performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially boosting market confidence in Excelerate Energy.
- Share Repurchase Plan: Excelerate Energy recently announced a $75 million share repurchase authorization, a move that not only demonstrates the company's confidence in its stock value but may also enhance earnings per share by reducing the number of shares outstanding, thereby positively impacting shareholders.
See More
Energy Sector Strong Performance: Top 10 Oil and Gas Stocks Analysis
- Top Performer: Excelerate Energy (EE) leads with a year-to-date performance of 49.48%, indicating strong growth potential in the energy market that may attract increased investor interest.
- Close Competitors: Dorian LPG (LPG) and International Seaways (INSW) follow with YTD gains of 44.45% and 38.06%, respectively, highlighting their competitiveness and robust market demand in the oil and gas transportation sector.
- Midstream Strength: Kinetik Holdings (KNTK) and Targa Resources (TRGP) show solid performances with YTD gains of 24.02% and 21.50%, reflecting the stability and growth potential of midstream energy companies in the current market environment.
- Quantitative Rating Advantage: NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL) ranks eighth with a 19% YTD gain and a high Quant rating of 4.95, designated as a “Strong Buy,” indicating its attractiveness to investors and confidence in future growth.
See More
Excelerate Energy Shares Surge 12.75% Amid Price Target Increases
- Stock Surge: Excelerate Energy, Inc. (NYSE:EE) saw its share price increase by 12.75% between February 6 and February 13, 2026, marking it as one of the top-performing energy stocks this week, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth.
- Price Target Increase: Deutsche Bank raised its price target for Excelerate Energy from $35 to $44 while maintaining a ‘Buy’ rating, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on its future performance with an expected upside of over 5% from current levels.
- Strong Year-to-Date Performance: Since the beginning of the year, Excelerate Energy's stock has gained over 47%, with Northland raising its price target from $46 to $50, highlighting the stock's terrific start in 2026 and anticipating continued strong momentum.
- Positive Growth Outlook: Analysts note that upcoming new builds in the second half of the year and integrated deals on current assets will drive Excelerate's sustained growth, although some AI stocks may offer higher potential returns, Excelerate's market performance remains noteworthy.
See More
Excelerate Energy to Release Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results
- Earnings Release Schedule: Excelerate Energy will release its Q4 and full year 2025 results on February 25, 2026, after the U.S. market closes, providing insights into the company's annual performance and future outlook.
- Investor Conference Call: The management team will host a conference call for analysts and investors on February 26, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, enhancing engagement by interpreting the earnings report and addressing inquiries.
- Live Webcast and Replay: The conference call will be webcast live on the company's website, and an archived replay along with the earnings presentation will be available post-call, ensuring investors can access the information at their convenience.
- Company Overview: Excelerate Energy, based in The Woodlands, Texas, is an LNG company focused on providing flexible regasification services and LNG solutions across key global markets, promoting accessibility to cleaner energy sources.
See More
Excelerate Energy Reports Record Q4 2025 Earnings and Growth Outlook
- Record EBITDA Achievement: Excelerate Energy reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $449 million for 2025, reflecting a $100 million increase year-over-year, driven by contributions from the Jamaica acquisition and growth in LNG, gas, and power activities, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management introduced 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $515 million to $545 million, representing an over $80 million increase from 2025 results, indicating a solid growth trajectory based on existing assets and contracts.
- Strategic Investment in Iraq: The total estimated capital cost for the Iraq LNG import terminal is projected to range between $520 million and $550 million, with the FSRU cost around $370 million, highlighting the company's commitment to strategic investments in key markets that will drive future revenue growth.
- Shareholder Return Initiatives: The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share and a $75 million share repurchase program, targeting a low double-digit annual dividend growth rate starting in 2026, which is expected to further bolster investor confidence.
See More
Excelerate Energy Q4 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Excelerate Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.29, missing expectations by $0.07, indicating potential pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $317.6 million, a 15.7% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $14.01 million, demonstrating its competitive position and sales growth potential in the market.
- 2026 Guidance: The adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is expected to range between $515 million and $545 million, reflecting the company's confidence in future profitability, while maintenance capital expenditures are projected between $100 million and $110 million, indicating a continued commitment to infrastructure investments.
- Growth Capital Commitment: Committed growth capital is expected to range between $370 million and $400 million, highlighting the company's ongoing investment in previously approved capital projects to support its long-term growth strategy.
See More
Excelerate Energy to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 25
- Earnings Announcement Date: Excelerate Energy is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings on February 25 after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.36, reflecting a 10% year-over-year decline, while revenue is projected at $303.59 million, indicating a 10.6% year-over-year increase, which could significantly impact the company's stock performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Excelerate Energy has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, indicating a level of stability and market confidence in the company's financial performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially boosting market confidence in Excelerate Energy.
- Share Repurchase Plan: Excelerate Energy recently announced a $75 million share repurchase authorization, a move that not only demonstrates the company's confidence in its stock value but may also enhance earnings per share by reducing the number of shares outstanding, thereby positively impacting shareholders.
See More
Energy Sector Strong Performance: Top 10 Oil and Gas Stocks Analysis
- Top Performer: Excelerate Energy (EE) leads with a year-to-date performance of 49.48%, indicating strong growth potential in the energy market that may attract increased investor interest.
- Close Competitors: Dorian LPG (LPG) and International Seaways (INSW) follow with YTD gains of 44.45% and 38.06%, respectively, highlighting their competitiveness and robust market demand in the oil and gas transportation sector.
- Midstream Strength: Kinetik Holdings (KNTK) and Targa Resources (TRGP) show solid performances with YTD gains of 24.02% and 21.50%, reflecting the stability and growth potential of midstream energy companies in the current market environment.
- Quantitative Rating Advantage: NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL) ranks eighth with a 19% YTD gain and a high Quant rating of 4.95, designated as a “Strong Buy,” indicating its attractiveness to investors and confidence in future growth.
See More
Excelerate Energy Shares Surge 12.75% Amid Price Target Increases
- Stock Surge: Excelerate Energy, Inc. (NYSE:EE) saw its share price increase by 12.75% between February 6 and February 13, 2026, marking it as one of the top-performing energy stocks this week, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth.
- Price Target Increase: Deutsche Bank raised its price target for Excelerate Energy from $35 to $44 while maintaining a ‘Buy’ rating, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on its future performance with an expected upside of over 5% from current levels.
- Strong Year-to-Date Performance: Since the beginning of the year, Excelerate Energy's stock has gained over 47%, with Northland raising its price target from $46 to $50, highlighting the stock's terrific start in 2026 and anticipating continued strong momentum.
- Positive Growth Outlook: Analysts note that upcoming new builds in the second half of the year and integrated deals on current assets will drive Excelerate's sustained growth, although some AI stocks may offer higher potential returns, Excelerate's market performance remains noteworthy.
See More
Excelerate Energy to Release Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results
- Earnings Release Schedule: Excelerate Energy will release its Q4 and full year 2025 results on February 25, 2026, after the U.S. market closes, providing insights into the company's annual performance and future outlook.
- Investor Conference Call: The management team will host a conference call for analysts and investors on February 26, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, enhancing engagement by interpreting the earnings report and addressing inquiries.
- Live Webcast and Replay: The conference call will be webcast live on the company's website, and an archived replay along with the earnings presentation will be available post-call, ensuring investors can access the information at their convenience.
- Company Overview: Excelerate Energy, based in The Woodlands, Texas, is an LNG company focused on providing flexible regasification services and LNG solutions across key global markets, promoting accessibility to cleaner energy sources.
See More
