US Stock Futures Plummet as Oil Prices Surge Amid Military Strikes on Iran
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 13 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy TGT?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Market Reaction: US stock futures plummeted about 1% on Sunday night, with Dow Jones futures dropping over 500 points, indicating strong investor reactions to geopolitical tensions that may lead to further market volatility.
- Oil Price Surge: Brent crude futures jumped approximately 13% in early trading to around $80 a barrel, while WTI crude rose to about $73, reflecting market concerns over the situation in Iran and its potential impact on global supply.
- Geopolitical Risks Intensify: Iranian leaders have vowed a strong response to the military strikes by the US and Israel, increasing the likelihood of regional conflict, which could have long-term implications for global markets.
- Economic Data Focus: Investors are looking ahead to the upcoming February jobs report, expecting an addition of 60,000 jobs, down from January's 130,000, indicating signs of economic slowdown that may affect market sentiment.
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Analyst Views on TGT
Wall Street analysts forecast TGT stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
14 Hold
4 Sell
Hold
Current: 114.790
Low
80.00
Averages
98.83
High
126.00
Current: 114.790
Low
80.00
Averages
98.83
High
126.00
About TGT
Target Corporation is a general merchandise retailer selling products to its guests through its stores and digital channels. The Company offers customers, referred to as guests, everyday essentials and fashionable, differentiated merchandise at discounted prices. The majority of its stores offer a wide assortment of general merchandise and food. Its merchandise categories include apparel and accessories, beauty and household essentials, food and beverage, hardlines, and home furnishings and decor. Most of its stores are larger than 170,000 square feet, offer a variety of general merchandise and a full line of food items comparable to traditional supermarkets. Its digital channels include a wide merchandise and food assortment, including many items found in its stores, along with a complementary assortment sold by the Company and third parties. Its brands include A New Day, Ava & Viv, Cloud Island, Favorite Day, and others. It serves guests at nearly 2,000 stores and at Target.com.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Expectations: Target Corporation is set to release its Q4 earnings before the market opens on March 3, with analysts forecasting earnings of $2.15 per share, down from $2.41 in the previous year, indicating potential profitability challenges ahead.
- Revenue Forecast: The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue stands at $30.49 billion, slightly lower than last year's $30.91 billion, suggesting that the company may face hurdles in sales growth, warranting close monitoring of future market performance.
- Analyst Rating: Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly maintains an Overweight rating on Target and raises the price target from $115 to $130, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: With an annual dividend yield of 4.01% and a quarterly dividend of $1.14, investors looking to earn $500 monthly from dividends would need to invest approximately $149,748, highlighting the attractiveness of the company's dividend policy.
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- Earnings Overview: This week, major retailers including Target, Best Buy, and Costco are set to release earnings, with Target expected to report earnings of $2.17 per share and revenues of $30.52 billion, reflecting year-over-year declines of 10% and 1.3%, yet indicating market confidence in its future performance.
- Consumer Spending Trends: While overall consumer spending remains stable, particularly among high-income and younger demographics, lower-income groups are still grappling with inflationary pressures, leading to soft demand in discretionary spending categories, which has impacted Target's performance.
- Competitive Comparison: Target's stock has risen 15.6% in 2026, outperforming Walmart's 15% and the broader market's 0.6% increase, despite experiencing declines after each of the last five quarterly earnings releases, indicating market expectations for a positive outlook.
- Retail Sector Performance: So far, 22 retailers have reported earnings showing a 6.9% year-over-year increase in earnings and an 8.6% rise in revenues, but only 50% of these companies have exceeded EPS estimates, reflecting the challenges and competitive pressures facing the retail sector.
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- New Leadership: Michael Fiddelke is the new CEO of Target, facing significant challenges as he steps into his role.
- Investor Conference: He is preparing to host the company's first investor conference, which is a critical event for his leadership.
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- Market Reaction: US stock futures plummeted about 1% on Sunday night, with Dow Jones futures dropping over 500 points, indicating strong investor reactions to geopolitical tensions that may lead to further market volatility.
- Oil Price Surge: Brent crude futures jumped approximately 13% in early trading to around $80 a barrel, while WTI crude rose to about $73, reflecting market concerns over the situation in Iran and its potential impact on global supply.
- Geopolitical Risks Intensify: Iranian leaders have vowed a strong response to the military strikes by the US and Israel, increasing the likelihood of regional conflict, which could have long-term implications for global markets.
- Economic Data Focus: Investors are looking ahead to the upcoming February jobs report, expecting an addition of 60,000 jobs, down from January's 130,000, indicating signs of economic slowdown that may affect market sentiment.
See More

- Stock Market Performance: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.4% last week, marking a 0.9% decline for February, which is only the second monthly drop since April.
- Trading Range: The S&P 500 has been trading within a narrow range this year, with a low of approximately 6800 and a high of around 7000.
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- Middle East Impact: The U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran is likely to ripple through financial markets, with oil prices rising due to geopolitical risk premiums, as Brent crude has surged from the low $60s to around $73, indicating potential for further volatility.
- CrowdStrike Earnings Preview: CrowdStrike is set to report its quarterly results after Tuesday's close, with Wall Street expecting fiscal 2026 Q4 revenue of $1.3 billion and EPS of $1.10, providing CEO George Kurtz an opportunity to highlight the cybersecurity sector's unique position amidst AI disruption fears.
- Broadcom Earnings Expectations: Broadcom will release its earnings on Wednesday, with anticipated fiscal 2026 Q1 revenue of $19.14 billion and EPS of $2.02, as market sentiment remains optimistic about AI chip demand despite concerns over potential disruptions to infrastructure software.
- Costco Quarterly Report: Costco is expected to report its fiscal 2026 Q2 results after Thursday's close, with projected revenue of $69.22 billion and EPS of $4.56, as management will address consumer spending trends and membership renewal rates amid high price pressures.
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