The Math Shows DTD Can Go To $90
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 11 2025
0mins
Should l Buy AESI?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analyst Target Prices: The WisdomTree Total U.S. Dividend Fund ETF (DTD) has an implied analyst target price of $89.54, indicating a potential upside of 10.13% from its current trading price of $81.30.
Notable Holdings with Upside Potential: Key underlying holdings such as Innospec Inc, Liberty Energy Inc, and Atlas Energy Solutions Inc show significant upside potential based on analysts' target prices, with expected increases ranging from 34.03% to 47.35%.
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Analyst Views on AESI
Wall Street analysts forecast AESI stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 9.960
Low
7.00
Averages
10.49
High
16.00
Current: 9.960
Low
7.00
Averages
10.49
High
16.00
About AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. is a solution provider to the energy industry. Its portfolio of offerings includes oilfield logistics, distributed power systems, and the proppant supply network in the Permian Basin. Its hundred percent of Atlas LLC’s sand reserves are located in Texas within the Permian Basin and operations consist of proppant production and processing facilities, including four facilities near Kermit, Texas (together, the Kermit facilities), a fifth facility near Monahans, Texas, and the OnCore distributed mining network. Sand and Logistics segments provide locally sourced over 100 mesh and 40/70 sand used as a proppant during the well completion process. Also, it provides a differentiated logistics platform that includes its fleet of fit-for-purpose trucks, trailers, and the Dune Express, an overland conveyor infrastructure solution. The Power segment provides distributed power solutions through a fleet of approximately 950 natural gas-powered reciprocating generators.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Financial Performance: Atlas Energy Solutions reported an adjusted EBITDA of $36.7 million and revenue of $249 million for Q4 2025, achieving a 15% adjusted EBITDA margin, indicating effective cost control alongside stable revenue generation.
- Accelerated Strategic Transition: The company aims to deploy over 500 megawatts of power generation equipment by 2027, having ordered 240 megawatts, marking a shift from a generator rental model to a power-as-a-service approach, which is expected to significantly enhance future revenue streams.
- Effective Cost Management: Despite elevated maintenance costs, Atlas has reduced plant operating costs to $12.28 per ton, benefiting from optimized equipment usage and reduced rental expenses, which is anticipated to further strengthen profitability.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Management expresses confidence in the future of the power business despite pricing pressures in sand and logistics, with expected sales volume growth of approximately 10% sequentially in Q1 and plans to expand market share in the coming months.
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- Revenue Decline: Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. reported revenue of $249.43 million for Q4 2025, an 8.1% decrease year-over-year, indicating pressure in market competition that could affect future investor confidence.
- Earnings Per Share Performance: The company posted an EPS of -$0.22, a significant drop from $0.06 in the same quarter last year, failing to meet investor expectations for profitability, which may lead to downward pressure on the stock price.
- Revenue Surpassing Expectations: Despite the overall revenue decline, the actual revenue exceeded the Zacks consensus estimate of $233.89 million by 6.65%, demonstrating resilience in certain areas that may attract short-term investor interest.
- Importance of Key Metrics: Analysts emphasize that while year-over-year figures are important, comparing key company metrics provides better insight into underlying performance, and investors should focus on these data points to better project stock price movements.
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- Quarterly Loss Overview: Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. reported a quarterly loss of $0.22 per share, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, contrasting sharply with earnings of $0.06 per share a year ago, indicating a significant decline in profitability.
- Revenue Performance Analysis: The company posted revenues of $249.43 million for the quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.65%, yet down from $271.34 million year-over-year, suggesting potential market demand weakness impacting future performance.
- Market Performance Comparison: Since the beginning of the year, Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. shares have risen approximately 24.3%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.9%, reflecting investor confidence in the company's future potential.
- Future Outlook and Rating: Although the current Zacks Rank is #3 (Hold), changes in earnings expectations for the upcoming quarters will be crucial for stock price movements, prompting investors to monitor overall industry performance and trends in earnings estimate revisions.
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- Earnings Highlights: Atlas Energy Solutions reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.18, beating expectations by $0.05, demonstrating resilience amid challenges despite an 8.1% year-over-year revenue decline.
- Revenue Performance: The Q4 revenue reached $249.43M, exceeding market expectations by $9.91M, indicating the company's ability to maintain revenue levels in a challenging market, which boosts investor confidence.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the earnings report, Atlas Energy's shares rose by 4.55%, reflecting a positive market response to the company's financial performance, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Investment Strategy Shift: ClearBridge Small Cap Strategy added Upwork and exited Alexander & Baldwin in Q4, showcasing a keen understanding of market dynamics that may influence Atlas Energy's investor base.
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- Earnings Release Date: Atlas Energy Solution is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 23rd after market close, drawing significant attention from investors regarding its performance.
- EPS Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at -$0.20, reflecting a staggering 253.8% year-over-year decline, indicating substantial profitability challenges that may affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Forecast Changes: The consensus revenue estimate is $239.52 million, representing an 11.7% year-over-year decrease, highlighting the company's struggles with revenue growth, which could impact future liquidity.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the past three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates saw three upward and four downward revisions, indicating market uncertainty regarding the company's outlook.
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- Leadership Appointment: Mike Howard, CEO of Howard Energy Partners, has been appointed to the National Petroleum Council by Secretary of Energy Chris Wright, highlighting his influence and expertise in the energy sector.
- Committee Background: Established in 1946, the National Petroleum Council advises the Secretary of Energy and the Executive Branch on matters related to the oil and gas industry, and Howard's appointment is expected to enhance the council's industry insights.
- Company Overview: Founded in 2011, Howard Energy is one of the largest private energy infrastructure companies in the U.S., owning a diverse portfolio of assets across Texas, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, and Mexico, strategically positioned to meet the world's increasing energy demand.
- Social Responsibility: Howard demonstrates a strong commitment to expanding energy accessibility, viewing reliable and affordable energy as foundational to human progress, and is actively engaged in philanthropy and civic initiatives to promote economic empowerment.
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