Tenax Aerospace and Air Industries Merger Expected to Generate $210M Revenue
Tenax Aerospace Acquisition and Air Industries jointly announced that they have entered into an agreement and plan of merger to combine Tenax's special mission aviation business with Air's precision aerospace manufacturing business. After the merger, the combined company expects to remain listed on the NYSE American under the symbol (AIRI). Based on preliminary and unaudited results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, the combined company would have reported approximately $183.3M of revenue with adjusted EBITDA of approximately $65M. The combined company would have net debt of approximately $380M. Net debt at the anticipated closing of the merger is expected to be up to $30M lower than currently as a result of expected cash flow from operations and the expected sale of Tenax aircraft currently held for sale. Based primarily on Tenax's current contract run rate and excluding the impact of expenses related to Tenax's January refinancing and the merger, the combined company is expected to generate pro-forma 2026 revenues in excess of $210M and adjusted EBITDA in excess of $75M. After the merger, it is expected that the combined company will employ approximately 430 employees. Tom Foley, current chairman of Tenax, is expected to become chairman of the combined companies. At the time of the merger, Air will issue shares of its common stock to holders of Tenax membership units. After the closing, Tenax shareholders are expected to own approximately 95% of Air's outstanding shares while existing Air shareholders are expected to own approximately 5%. In accordance with the merger agreement and concurrent with the merger, two directors of Air will be selected jointly by the current Air board of directors and Tenax. Tenax will select six or more additional directors. The transaction is not conditioned upon the receipt of financing by Tenax. Air's existing indebtedness is expected to be refinanced at closing. The exact number of shares to be issued to Tenax members will be determined based on a calculation of "AIR Net Indebtedness" which will establish the "Debt Adjusted AIR Share Price". Based on Air's preliminary balance sheet as of December 31, 2025, this calculation results in a debt adjusted Air share price of approximately $3.44 per Air share which would result in the issuance of approximately 112.5M shares of Air common stock to Tenax members. The final merger price and resulting ownership percentages will be determined based on AIR Net Indebtedness calculated as of the end of the month-end most recently completed more than 15 days prior to closing. If the average volume weighted price of Air's common stock during the twenty trading days prior to the closing is less than the debt adjusted Air share price, the merger agreement calls for Air to commence a tender offer to acquire up to one million shares of Air's current shareholders' common stock. In addition, on the first anniversary of the merger, shareholders of Air as of the business day immediately prior to the closing of the merger will have a contingent right, subject to specified conditions, to require Air to redeem their remaining shares if the twenty-day volume weighted average price for Air shares preceding such anniversary is less than 107.3% of the debt adjusted Air share price. This redemption right will not be transferable. The transaction remains subject to approval by Air shareholders, customary regulatory filings and U.S. government approvals, and other closing conditions typical for transactions of this size and type. Air's directors and all of its named executive officers have agreed to vote any shares they hold in favor of the merger. The companies currently expect the merger to close before June 30, subject to satisfaction of these closing conditions.
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- Merger Strategic Goals: The merger between Air Industries Group and Tenax Aerospace aims to enhance capabilities in special mission aviation and precision aerospace manufacturing, positioning the new entity for growth in the aerospace sector despite mixed market performance.
- Equity Structure Changes: Post-merger, Tenax shareholders will own approximately 95% of the new company's shares, while Air's existing shareholders will retain about 5%, significantly altering the governance structure and impacting future decision-making.
- Financial Projections: The combined company is expected to report approximately $183.3 million in revenue and $65 million in adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, indicating strong financial potential, particularly supported by Tenax's existing contracts.
- Market Reaction: Despite a slight decline in the broader market, Air Industries' stock has shown positive movement following the merger announcement, currently trading at $3.33, reflecting relative price resilience even as the stock has declined 20.84% over the past 12 months.
- Financial Overview: Air Industries reported a net loss of approximately $1.3 million for the fiscal year, despite generating revenue of $47.9 million, indicating that while the company is growing its top line, it faces significant profitability challenges that need addressing.
- Revenue Analysis: The reported revenue of $47.9 million demonstrates some competitive strength in the market; however, the presence of a net loss could undermine investor confidence, prompting management to reassess its cost structure and operational efficiency.
- Market Reaction: The news of the net loss may lead to a negative market response towards Air Industries, with investors needing to closely monitor the company's future financial strategies and plans for improving profitability to evaluate its long-term investment potential.
- Future Outlook: Air Industries must develop effective strategies to reverse its loss situation, enhance revenue quality, and improve profitability to ensure sustainable growth in a highly competitive industry.
Earnings Performance: StandardAero, Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $0.2 per share, matching expectations but showing a significant increase from $0.06 per share a year ago. The company surpassed revenue estimates with $1.5 billion, up from $1.24 billion year-over-year.
Stock Outlook: Despite an 8.4% increase in shares since the beginning of the year, StandardAero has underperformed compared to the S&P 500's 14.4% gain. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future.
Future Earnings Estimates: The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.25 on revenues of $1.59 billion, with a fiscal year estimate of $0.84 on $5.99 billion in revenues. Recent estimate revisions have been unfavorable, impacting investor sentiment.
Industry Context: The Aerospace - Defense industry, to which StandardAero belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 38% of Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead. Comparatively, Air Industries is expected to report a significant loss, reflecting broader industry struggles.

Air Industries Stock Performance: Air Industries (AIRI) closed at $3.11, up 1.63%, outperforming the S&P 500, which fell by 0.5%. However, the stock has seen a 3.16% decline prior to this trading day, lagging behind the Aerospace sector's gain of 3.85%.
Earnings Projections and Analyst Estimates: The upcoming earnings report for Air Industries is anticipated, with projected EPS at -$0.22, an 83.33% drop year-over-year, and revenue expected to decline by 20.38% to $10 million. The Zacks Rank for Air Industries is currently #4 (Sell), reflecting a negative outlook based on recent analyst estimate changes.

Stock Performance: Air Industries (AIRI) closed at $3.08, down 2.22%, underperforming the S&P 500, but has seen a 3.62% increase over the past month, outperforming both the Aerospace sector and the S&P 500.
Earnings Outlook: The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of -$0.22, a significant decline from the previous year, with projected revenue of $10 million, down 20.38%. The Zacks Rank for Air Industries is currently #4 (Sell), indicating a negative outlook.





