Sees Q1 Adjusted EBITDA of $11M-$13M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy REAL?
Sees Q1 adjusted EBITDA $11M-$13M. Sees Q1 GMV $585M-$600M.
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Analyst Views on REAL
Wall Street analysts forecast REAL stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 11.630
Low
15.00
Averages
17.00
High
20.00
Current: 11.630
Low
15.00
Averages
17.00
High
20.00
About REAL
The RealReal, Inc. provides an online marketplace for authenticated, resale luxury goods. The Company provides a platform for consumers to buy and sell their luxury items. The Company offers products across multiple categories, including women's and men's fashion, fine jewelry and watches. The luxury designers on its online marketplace include Cartier, Chanel, Christian Dior, Gucci, Hermes, Louis Vuitton, Prada, Rolex, Yves Saint Laurent, Tiffany & Co. and Van Cleef & Arpels. It operates neighborhood retail stores, which are typically 1,800 to 3,500 square feet, with items for sale reflecting a selection of the Company's online assortment. In addition, it operates several larger-footprint flagship stores in Los Angeles, California and New York, New York.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
The RealReal CFO Sells Shares, Reduces Holdings by 2.49%
- Executive Share Sale: Madan Gopal Ajay, CFO of The RealReal, sold 31,381 shares on February 23, 2026, for approximately $336,000 at a weighted average price of $10.72 per share, reducing his direct holdings to 1,230,892 shares, which represents a 2.49% decrease in ownership.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: The RealReal reported Q4 FY 2025 earnings on February 26, 2026, with revenues of about $194 million, surpassing the $190.7 million estimate, and while still operating at a loss, the annual net loss has decreased for the fifth consecutive year to $41.8 million from $134.2 million the previous year.
- Stock Performance Volatility: Despite strong performance over the past two years, The RealReal's stock has declined by 22% as of February 28, 2026, raising concerns among investors, particularly as lingering allegations of counterfeit goods remain a significant issue.
- Investor Caution Advised: The Motley Fool's analyst team did not include The RealReal in their current list of top investment stocks, suggesting that investors should exercise caution when considering purchasing shares, especially given the stock's volatility and increasing market competition.
See More
The RealReal CFO Sells $336,000 Worth of Shares
- Executive Share Sale: The RealReal's CFO, Madan Gopal Ajay, sold 31,381 shares on February 23, 2026, for approximately $336,000, reducing his direct holdings to 1,230,892 shares valued at around $13.5 million, indicating a potential decrease in executive confidence in the company's future.
- Historical Transaction Comparison: The shares sold are close to Ajay's recent median sell size of 30,196 shares, suggesting consistency with his historical selling patterns, yet raising market speculation about his intentions regarding his remaining stake.
- Financial Performance Overview: The RealReal reported a net loss of $41.8 million for FY 2025, significantly down from $134.2 million the previous year, but still reflects ongoing profitability challenges, compounded by a 22% decline in share price in 2026, which may affect investor sentiment.
- Market Positioning and Challenges: As a key player in the luxury resale market, The RealReal offers authentication services in multiple physical locations; however, lingering allegations of counterfeit goods pose a threat to its brand image, despite the company's efforts to regain consumer trust by reopening its core San Francisco store.
See More
Turning Point Brands and Medical Properties Trust Show Active Options Trading
- TPB Options Volume: Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) has seen an options volume of 1,215 contracts today, equating to approximately 121,500 shares, which represents 47.2% of its average daily trading volume of 257,310 shares over the past month, indicating a significant increase in market interest.
- High Volume Put Option: Within TPB, the $125 strike put option has recorded 591 contracts traded today, representing about 59,100 underlying shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential price declines, which could impact market sentiment towards TPB.
- MPT Options Volume: Medical Properties Trust Inc (MPT) has reported an options volume of 32,275 contracts today, translating to approximately 3.2 million shares, which is 46.2% of its average daily trading volume of 7 million shares over the past month, showcasing MPT's active market engagement.
- High Volume Call Option: For MPT, the $6 strike call option has seen 12,212 contracts traded today, representing around 1.2 million underlying shares, indicating investor confidence in MPT's future price increases, which may drive its stock price higher.
See More
The RealReal (REAL) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
See More
The RealReal Reports Strong Sales Growth and Ambitious Goals
- Significant Sales Growth: The RealReal achieved an 18% sales increase and a 22% rise in GMV in Q4 2025, reflecting strong demand in the resale luxury market, which contributed to a 14% surge in share price during Friday's premarket trading.
- Improved Profitability: The company reported earnings of $0.06 per share, reversing last year's loss of $0.01 and exceeding expectations by 2 cents, demonstrating the appeal of second-hand luxury items, while adjusted EBITDA reached $22 million, doubling from the previous year, resulting in a margin increase from 6.7% to 11.3%.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The RealReal expects current quarter sales between $185 million and $189 million, with annual revenue projected at $765 million to $780 million, both above market estimates, indicating strong confidence in future growth.
- Successful Strategic Transformation: CEO Rati Levesque noted that 2025 marked a transformative year for the company, surpassing $2 billion in GMV and achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in every quarter, reinforcing confidence in its market leadership and growth trajectory.
See More
The RealReal, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Significant Performance Growth: In Q4 2025, The RealReal achieved $616 million in GMV, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, while surpassing $2 billion in GMV for the year, demonstrating the company's dual success in profitability and growth speed.
- Adjusted EBITDA Expansion: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 reached $22 million, accounting for 11.3% of total revenue, significantly improving from the previous year, showcasing the company's effectiveness in operational leverage and cost control.
- Strategic Focus and Tech-Driven: The CEO emphasized that the company's strategy revolves around three pillars: “growth playbook,” “operational excellence,” and “obsess over service,” with AI-driven tools like Smart Sales and Athena enhancing sales team productivity and driving performance growth.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The CFO projected GMV growth for 2026 to be between 12% and 15%, with adjusted EBITDA targets ranging from $57 million to $65 million, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth and commitment to ongoing investments in automation.
See More
The RealReal CFO Sells Shares, Reduces Holdings by 2.49%
- Executive Share Sale: Madan Gopal Ajay, CFO of The RealReal, sold 31,381 shares on February 23, 2026, for approximately $336,000 at a weighted average price of $10.72 per share, reducing his direct holdings to 1,230,892 shares, which represents a 2.49% decrease in ownership.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: The RealReal reported Q4 FY 2025 earnings on February 26, 2026, with revenues of about $194 million, surpassing the $190.7 million estimate, and while still operating at a loss, the annual net loss has decreased for the fifth consecutive year to $41.8 million from $134.2 million the previous year.
- Stock Performance Volatility: Despite strong performance over the past two years, The RealReal's stock has declined by 22% as of February 28, 2026, raising concerns among investors, particularly as lingering allegations of counterfeit goods remain a significant issue.
- Investor Caution Advised: The Motley Fool's analyst team did not include The RealReal in their current list of top investment stocks, suggesting that investors should exercise caution when considering purchasing shares, especially given the stock's volatility and increasing market competition.
See More
The RealReal CFO Sells $336,000 Worth of Shares
- Executive Share Sale: The RealReal's CFO, Madan Gopal Ajay, sold 31,381 shares on February 23, 2026, for approximately $336,000, reducing his direct holdings to 1,230,892 shares valued at around $13.5 million, indicating a potential decrease in executive confidence in the company's future.
- Historical Transaction Comparison: The shares sold are close to Ajay's recent median sell size of 30,196 shares, suggesting consistency with his historical selling patterns, yet raising market speculation about his intentions regarding his remaining stake.
- Financial Performance Overview: The RealReal reported a net loss of $41.8 million for FY 2025, significantly down from $134.2 million the previous year, but still reflects ongoing profitability challenges, compounded by a 22% decline in share price in 2026, which may affect investor sentiment.
- Market Positioning and Challenges: As a key player in the luxury resale market, The RealReal offers authentication services in multiple physical locations; however, lingering allegations of counterfeit goods pose a threat to its brand image, despite the company's efforts to regain consumer trust by reopening its core San Francisco store.
See More
Turning Point Brands and Medical Properties Trust Show Active Options Trading
- TPB Options Volume: Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB) has seen an options volume of 1,215 contracts today, equating to approximately 121,500 shares, which represents 47.2% of its average daily trading volume of 257,310 shares over the past month, indicating a significant increase in market interest.
- High Volume Put Option: Within TPB, the $125 strike put option has recorded 591 contracts traded today, representing about 59,100 underlying shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential price declines, which could impact market sentiment towards TPB.
- MPT Options Volume: Medical Properties Trust Inc (MPT) has reported an options volume of 32,275 contracts today, translating to approximately 3.2 million shares, which is 46.2% of its average daily trading volume of 7 million shares over the past month, showcasing MPT's active market engagement.
- High Volume Call Option: For MPT, the $6 strike call option has seen 12,212 contracts traded today, representing around 1.2 million underlying shares, indicating investor confidence in MPT's future price increases, which may drive its stock price higher.
See More
The RealReal (REAL) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
See More
The RealReal Reports Strong Sales Growth and Ambitious Goals
- Significant Sales Growth: The RealReal achieved an 18% sales increase and a 22% rise in GMV in Q4 2025, reflecting strong demand in the resale luxury market, which contributed to a 14% surge in share price during Friday's premarket trading.
- Improved Profitability: The company reported earnings of $0.06 per share, reversing last year's loss of $0.01 and exceeding expectations by 2 cents, demonstrating the appeal of second-hand luxury items, while adjusted EBITDA reached $22 million, doubling from the previous year, resulting in a margin increase from 6.7% to 11.3%.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The RealReal expects current quarter sales between $185 million and $189 million, with annual revenue projected at $765 million to $780 million, both above market estimates, indicating strong confidence in future growth.
- Successful Strategic Transformation: CEO Rati Levesque noted that 2025 marked a transformative year for the company, surpassing $2 billion in GMV and achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in every quarter, reinforcing confidence in its market leadership and growth trajectory.
See More
The RealReal, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Significant Performance Growth: In Q4 2025, The RealReal achieved $616 million in GMV, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, while surpassing $2 billion in GMV for the year, demonstrating the company's dual success in profitability and growth speed.
- Adjusted EBITDA Expansion: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 reached $22 million, accounting for 11.3% of total revenue, significantly improving from the previous year, showcasing the company's effectiveness in operational leverage and cost control.
- Strategic Focus and Tech-Driven: The CEO emphasized that the company's strategy revolves around three pillars: “growth playbook,” “operational excellence,” and “obsess over service,” with AI-driven tools like Smart Sales and Athena enhancing sales team productivity and driving performance growth.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The CFO projected GMV growth for 2026 to be between 12% and 15%, with adjusted EBITDA targets ranging from $57 million to $65 million, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth and commitment to ongoing investments in automation.
See More
