Sees FY26 Comparable RevPAR Growth of 0.5%-3%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy RLJ?
Sees FY26 comparable RevPAR growth 0.5%-3%.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy RLJ?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on RLJ
Wall Street analysts forecast RLJ stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 8.020
Low
6.00
Averages
8.25
High
11.00
Current: 8.020
Low
6.00
Averages
8.25
High
11.00
About RLJ
RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns approximately 95 premium-branded, rooms-oriented, urban-centric hotels. The Company's brand affiliations include Marriott, which includes Courtyard, Residence Inn, Marriott, Fairfield Inn & Suites, Renaissance, SpringHill Suites, AC Hotel, Moxy and Tribute Portfolio; Hilton, which includes Embassy Suites, Hilton Garden Inn, DoubleTree/DoubleTree Suites by Hilton, Hampton Inn/Hampton Inn & Suites, Curio Collection, Homewood Suites, Hilton and Tapestry Collection; Hyatt, which includes Hyatt House, Hyatt Place and Hyatt Centric, and Wyndham. Its hotel properties include Embassy Suites Birmingham, Embassy Suites Phoenix - Biltmore, Courtyard San Francisco, Embassy Suites Milpitas Silicon Valley, Hilton Garden Inn Los Angeles Hollywood, Hilton Garden Inn San Francisco Oakland Bay Bridge, Fairfield Inn & Suites Key West, Hyatt Centric The Woodlands, and Residence Inn Atlanta Midtown Historic.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Amid Challenges
- Performance Exceeds Expectations: RLJ Lodging Trust reported a 68.7% occupancy rate and $137 RevPAR in Q4 2025, demonstrating strong urban market performance and a 7.2% increase in non-room revenue, which contributed to a total revenue growth of 0.2% despite challenges from the government shutdown.
- Asset Sales and Capital Returns: The company successfully sold three properties for $73.7 million at a 17.7x multiple and repurchased 3.3 million shares for $28.6 million, enhancing shareholder returns and financial flexibility while addressing near-term debt maturities.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management provided guidance for 2026, projecting comparable RevPAR growth between 0.5% and 3%, with Hotel EBITDA expected between $344 million and $374 million, reflecting confidence in urban market demand and major events like the World Cup driving growth.
- Cost Management and Risks: While management maintains an optimistic outlook, they acknowledged potential risks from geopolitical uncertainties and a choppy operating environment, with expenses expected to grow by about 3%, which could impact future profitability.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Strong Financial Performance: RLJ Lodging Trust reported a Q4 FFO of $0.32, beating expectations by $0.05, which reflects effective financial management and boosts investor confidence.
- Slight Revenue Decline: The company generated $328.6 million in revenue for Q4, a 0.4% year-over-year decrease, yet it surpassed expectations by $10.65 million, indicating resilience amid market challenges.
- Positive Future Outlook: RLJ anticipates a comparable RevPAR growth of 0.5% to 3.0% for FY 2026, with comparable hotel EBITDA projected between $344 million and $374 million, reflecting optimism about market recovery.
- Adjusted Earnings Forecast: The adjusted FFO per diluted share for FY 2026 is expected to range from $1.21 to $1.41, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that may attract more investor interest.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Strong 2025 Financial Results
- Fourth Quarter Performance: RLJ Lodging Trust reported total revenues of $328.6 million for Q4 2025, a slight decline of 0.4% year-over-year, yet non-room revenues surged by 7.2%, indicating strong performance in urban markets and effective cost management despite a government shutdown.
- Significant Net Income Decline: The company recorded a net income of $549,000 in Q4, down 90.9% year-over-year, with an annual net income of $28.6 million, reflecting challenges in the market environment and high fixed costs impacting profitability.
- Shareholder Return Initiatives: In 2025, RLJ repurchased 3.3 million shares for approximately $28.6 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth, while the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share, enhancing shareholder returns.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates comparable RevPAR growth of 0.5% to 3.0% and expects comparable hotel EBITDA to range from $344 million to $374 million, indicating potential benefits from ongoing demand momentum during the upcoming FIFA World Cup and America's 250th Anniversary celebrations.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Strong Q4 Results Amid Challenges
- Financial Performance: RLJ Lodging Trust reported an adjusted FFO of $0.32 per diluted share and an adjusted EBITDA of $80.4 million for Q4, achieving a 0.2% increase in hotel revenue despite challenges from a government shutdown, demonstrating resilience in a tough operating environment.
- Liquidity Position: As of December 31, 2025, the company had over $1 billion in liquidity, including approximately $410.2 million in unrestricted cash and $600 million in undrawn revolver capacity, ensuring operational and investment capabilities for the future.
- Asset Dispositions: The company sold two hotels for a combined $49.5 million in Q4, reflecting effective asset management and achieving a strong 16.3x EBITDA multiple, indicating solid capital returns.
- Future Outlook: For 2026, the company anticipates comparable RevPAR growth of 0.5% to 3.0% and plans to invest $80 million to $90 million in capital expenditures for renovations, further enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Set to Announce Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement: RLJ Lodging Trust is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 26 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.27, reflecting an 18.2% year-over-year decline, indicating potential profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline: The consensus revenue estimate stands at $317.95 million, down 3.7% year-over-year, highlighting revenue challenges in the current economic environment, which may impact investor confidence.
- Estimate Revisions: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision and five downward adjustments, suggesting a pessimistic outlook from the market regarding the company's future performance.
- Dividend Declaration: RLJ Lodging Trust declared a dividend of $0.15 per share, maintaining its payout despite profitability and revenue pressures, which may aim to attract income-focused investors.
See More
Success of Price-to-Tangible-Book Value Investing
- Long-Term Return Advantage: Since 1980, Donald Smith & Co.'s investment strategy has achieved a 16.8% compound annual return by focusing on companies in the lowest decile of price-to-tangible-book ratios, significantly outperforming the overall lowest decile's 13.4% and the S&P 500's 12.1%, demonstrating the effectiveness of their long-term investment approach and market recognition potential.
- Philosophical Foundation: Founder Donald G. Smith was influenced by Benjamin Graham during his time at UCLA Law School, establishing an investment framework centered on buying companies with the lowest price-to-tangible-book value, emphasizing fundamental analysis and patient holding to avoid short-term market fluctuations.
- Asset Allocation Strategy: Currently managing over $5 billion in assets, Donald Smith & Co. employs a concentrated investment strategy with individual positions capped at 5% and industry exposure generally limited to around 20%, ensuring stable portfolio performance amid market volatility.
- Current Investment Targets: Recent 13F filings reveal significant positions in asset-heavy companies like West Fraser Timber, Brazilian steel producer Gerdau, and Harley-Davidson, all trading at substantial discounts, reflecting their deep conviction in cyclical asset investing and expectations for market recovery.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Amid Challenges
- Performance Exceeds Expectations: RLJ Lodging Trust reported a 68.7% occupancy rate and $137 RevPAR in Q4 2025, demonstrating strong urban market performance and a 7.2% increase in non-room revenue, which contributed to a total revenue growth of 0.2% despite challenges from the government shutdown.
- Asset Sales and Capital Returns: The company successfully sold three properties for $73.7 million at a 17.7x multiple and repurchased 3.3 million shares for $28.6 million, enhancing shareholder returns and financial flexibility while addressing near-term debt maturities.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management provided guidance for 2026, projecting comparable RevPAR growth between 0.5% and 3%, with Hotel EBITDA expected between $344 million and $374 million, reflecting confidence in urban market demand and major events like the World Cup driving growth.
- Cost Management and Risks: While management maintains an optimistic outlook, they acknowledged potential risks from geopolitical uncertainties and a choppy operating environment, with expenses expected to grow by about 3%, which could impact future profitability.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Strong Financial Performance: RLJ Lodging Trust reported a Q4 FFO of $0.32, beating expectations by $0.05, which reflects effective financial management and boosts investor confidence.
- Slight Revenue Decline: The company generated $328.6 million in revenue for Q4, a 0.4% year-over-year decrease, yet it surpassed expectations by $10.65 million, indicating resilience amid market challenges.
- Positive Future Outlook: RLJ anticipates a comparable RevPAR growth of 0.5% to 3.0% for FY 2026, with comparable hotel EBITDA projected between $344 million and $374 million, reflecting optimism about market recovery.
- Adjusted Earnings Forecast: The adjusted FFO per diluted share for FY 2026 is expected to range from $1.21 to $1.41, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that may attract more investor interest.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Strong 2025 Financial Results
- Fourth Quarter Performance: RLJ Lodging Trust reported total revenues of $328.6 million for Q4 2025, a slight decline of 0.4% year-over-year, yet non-room revenues surged by 7.2%, indicating strong performance in urban markets and effective cost management despite a government shutdown.
- Significant Net Income Decline: The company recorded a net income of $549,000 in Q4, down 90.9% year-over-year, with an annual net income of $28.6 million, reflecting challenges in the market environment and high fixed costs impacting profitability.
- Shareholder Return Initiatives: In 2025, RLJ repurchased 3.3 million shares for approximately $28.6 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth, while the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share, enhancing shareholder returns.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates comparable RevPAR growth of 0.5% to 3.0% and expects comparable hotel EBITDA to range from $344 million to $374 million, indicating potential benefits from ongoing demand momentum during the upcoming FIFA World Cup and America's 250th Anniversary celebrations.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Strong Q4 Results Amid Challenges
- Financial Performance: RLJ Lodging Trust reported an adjusted FFO of $0.32 per diluted share and an adjusted EBITDA of $80.4 million for Q4, achieving a 0.2% increase in hotel revenue despite challenges from a government shutdown, demonstrating resilience in a tough operating environment.
- Liquidity Position: As of December 31, 2025, the company had over $1 billion in liquidity, including approximately $410.2 million in unrestricted cash and $600 million in undrawn revolver capacity, ensuring operational and investment capabilities for the future.
- Asset Dispositions: The company sold two hotels for a combined $49.5 million in Q4, reflecting effective asset management and achieving a strong 16.3x EBITDA multiple, indicating solid capital returns.
- Future Outlook: For 2026, the company anticipates comparable RevPAR growth of 0.5% to 3.0% and plans to invest $80 million to $90 million in capital expenditures for renovations, further enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
RLJ Lodging Trust Set to Announce Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement: RLJ Lodging Trust is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 26 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.27, reflecting an 18.2% year-over-year decline, indicating potential profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline: The consensus revenue estimate stands at $317.95 million, down 3.7% year-over-year, highlighting revenue challenges in the current economic environment, which may impact investor confidence.
- Estimate Revisions: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision and five downward adjustments, suggesting a pessimistic outlook from the market regarding the company's future performance.
- Dividend Declaration: RLJ Lodging Trust declared a dividend of $0.15 per share, maintaining its payout despite profitability and revenue pressures, which may aim to attract income-focused investors.
See More
Success of Price-to-Tangible-Book Value Investing
- Long-Term Return Advantage: Since 1980, Donald Smith & Co.'s investment strategy has achieved a 16.8% compound annual return by focusing on companies in the lowest decile of price-to-tangible-book ratios, significantly outperforming the overall lowest decile's 13.4% and the S&P 500's 12.1%, demonstrating the effectiveness of their long-term investment approach and market recognition potential.
- Philosophical Foundation: Founder Donald G. Smith was influenced by Benjamin Graham during his time at UCLA Law School, establishing an investment framework centered on buying companies with the lowest price-to-tangible-book value, emphasizing fundamental analysis and patient holding to avoid short-term market fluctuations.
- Asset Allocation Strategy: Currently managing over $5 billion in assets, Donald Smith & Co. employs a concentrated investment strategy with individual positions capped at 5% and industry exposure generally limited to around 20%, ensuring stable portfolio performance amid market volatility.
- Current Investment Targets: Recent 13F filings reveal significant positions in asset-heavy companies like West Fraser Timber, Brazilian steel producer Gerdau, and Harley-Davidson, all trading at substantial discounts, reflecting their deep conviction in cyclical asset investing and expectations for market recovery.
See More
