Sees FY26 Adjusted EBITDA at $580M-$610M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 19 2026
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Should l Buy PK?
Sees FY26 adjusted EBITDA $580M-$610M
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Analyst Views on PK
Wall Street analysts forecast PK stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.310
Low
10.50
Averages
11.93
High
14.00
Current: 11.310
Low
10.50
Averages
11.93
High
14.00
About PK
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. is a lodging real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company has a diverse portfolio of hotels and resorts with significant underlying real estate value. It has interests in 36 hotels, consisting of premium-branded hotels and resorts with approximately 23,055 rooms, of which over 87% are luxury and upper upscale and are located in prime United States markets and its territories. Its high-quality portfolio includes hotels mostly in major urban and convention areas, such as New York City, Washington, D.C., Chicago, Boston, New Orleans and Denver; and premier resorts in key leisure destinations, including Hawaii, Orlando, Key West and Miami Beach; as well as hotels in select airport and suburban locations. Its brands include Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Signia by Hilton, Marriott, Hyatt Regency, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Marriott Tribute Portfolio, Curio - A Collection by Hilton, Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, JW Marriott, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Long-Term Return Advantage: Since 1980, Donald Smith & Co.'s investment strategy has achieved a 16.8% compound annual return by focusing on companies in the lowest decile of price-to-tangible-book ratios, significantly outperforming the overall lowest decile's 13.4% and the S&P 500's 12.1%, demonstrating the effectiveness of their long-term investment approach and market recognition potential.
- Philosophical Foundation: Founder Donald G. Smith was influenced by Benjamin Graham during his time at UCLA Law School, establishing an investment framework centered on buying companies with the lowest price-to-tangible-book value, emphasizing fundamental analysis and patient holding to avoid short-term market fluctuations.
- Asset Allocation Strategy: Currently managing over $5 billion in assets, Donald Smith & Co. employs a concentrated investment strategy with individual positions capped at 5% and industry exposure generally limited to around 20%, ensuring stable portfolio performance amid market volatility.
- Current Investment Targets: Recent 13F filings reveal significant positions in asset-heavy companies like West Fraser Timber, Brazilian steel producer Gerdau, and Harley-Davidson, all trading at substantial discounts, reflecting their deep conviction in cyclical asset investing and expectations for market recovery.
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- Attraction of Dividend Stocks: During turbulent and uncertain market conditions, many investors are turning to dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, highlighting their defensive characteristics in unstable markets.
- Real Estate Sector Performance: Analyst ratings for three high-yielding real estate stocks indicate a growing interest in these equities, particularly as economic uncertainty increases, leading investors to prefer stable income sources.
- Analyst Ratings: Brandywine Realty Trust (NYSE: BDN), Park Hotels & Resorts Inc (NYSE: PK), and SL Green Realty Corp (NYSE: SLG) are currently recommended high-yield stocks by analysts, reflecting market confidence in these companies.
- Investor Strategy Adjustment: As market volatility intensifies, investors may reassess their portfolios to increase allocations to dividend stocks in search of stable cash flows and risk hedging, further driving demand for these equities.
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- Strategic Progress: CEO Thomas Baltimore highlighted significant advancements in 2025, particularly in reshaping and upgrading the portfolio, with high-impact redevelopment projects expected to yield over $1 billion in ROI.
- Non-Core Asset Dispositions: The company has sold or disposed of 51 hotels for over $3 billion in the past nine years, and despite a challenging transaction environment, has disposed of 13 hotels since 2023, driving nearly 8% growth in portfolio-wide nominal RevPAR.
- Strong Core Hotel Performance: In Q4, RevPAR for core hotels increased by 3.2% year-over-year, or 5.7% excluding the Royal Palm, while the adjusted EBITDA margin for core hotels expanded to 30%, demonstrating continued returns from investments in high-quality assets.
- Cautious 2026 Outlook: The CFO projected flat to 2% growth in RevPAR for 2026, with adjusted EBITDA forecasted between $580 million and $610 million, reflecting the company's cautious stance amid macroeconomic uncertainties.
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- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Park Hotels & Resorts has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and shareholder return strategy, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Earnings Beat Expectations: The company reported a funds from operations (FFO) of $0.51, exceeding expectations by $0.05, suggesting improved operational efficiency and potentially boosting market confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Revenue Growth: Park Hotels achieved revenue of $629 million, surpassing market expectations by $6.7 million, reflecting strong performance in the hotel sector and a recovery in market demand, further solidifying its market position.
- Asset Disposition: The company sold five non-core hotels for $198 million, a strategic move that helps optimize its asset portfolio, freeing up capital for more promising investment opportunities and enhancing overall financial flexibility.
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- Share Sale Details: On February 17, 2026, H/2 Credit Manager LP disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold 741,040 shares of Park Hotels & Resorts during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $7.94 million, indicating a potential loss of confidence in the company.
- Decline in Position Value: The sale resulted in a $10.17 million decline in H/2 Credit Manager's quarter-end position value in Park Hotels, reflecting not only the impact of the sale but also changes in share price, highlighting market concerns regarding the company's performance.
- Company Financial Overview: As of February 17, 2026, Park Hotels' shares were priced at $11.47, down 4.3% year-over-year, with a net income of -$12 million, indicating financial strain despite an adjusted EBITDA of $609 million, suggesting underlying operational challenges.
- Investor Focus: Park Hotels is actively shedding lower-quality properties and redeploying capital into high-return renovations, with the Royal Palm overhaul expected to yield a 15% to 20% ROI, demonstrating the company's commitment to optimizing its asset portfolio and improving financial health.
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- Strong Financial Performance: Park Hotels & Resorts reported Q4 FFO of $0.51, beating expectations by $0.05, indicating robust market performance that boosts investor confidence.
- Stable Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $629 million, a 0.6% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $6.7 million, demonstrating its ability to maintain steady revenue streams in a competitive hotel industry.
- Positive 2026 Outlook: Park anticipates 2026 RevPAR to range from $190 to $194, reflecting a stable to 2% growth compared to 2025, indicating a positive outlook on future market demand.
- Increased Net Income Projections: Expected net income for 2026 is projected between $69 million and $99 million, with net income attributable to stockholders ranging from $62 million to $92 million, showcasing sustained profitability and reinforcing its market position.
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