<Research>BOCI Maintains Hold Rating on CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK) as 2025 Profit Projections Fall Short of Expectations
Profit Forecast: China Shenhua estimates a 6.3-14.7% decline in net profit for 2025, projecting RMB50.8-55.8 billion, which is lower than BOCI's forecast.
Factors Influencing Decline: The anticipated profit drop is attributed to increased coal business costs, changes in sales mix, and challenges in the power sector, including higher coal costs and reduced utilization rates.
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Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 420 points (1.6%) to 26,209, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.1% and 1.4%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba saw significant drops, with Xiaomi down 4.6% and Alibaba down 2.7%, amidst high short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were standout performers, with Xinyi Glass rising 11.4% to a new high, while several other stocks, including Sunny Optical and HSBC Holdings, faced declines.
Short Selling Trends: The short selling ratios for various stocks were notable, with JD Health and HSBC Holdings showing high short selling activity, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 249 points (0.9%) to close at 26,630, with a total market turnover of $288.42 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stock movements included TENCENT (+1.2%), MEITUAN (+0.9%), and HKEX (+0.9%), while XIAOMI (-0.8%) and BABA (-0.1%) saw declines.
Top Gainers: SHK PPT surged by 7.1% to a new high, followed by WUXI BIO (+5.1%) and CHINA SHENHUA (+4.0%), indicating strong performance among HSI and HSCEI constituents.
Significant Movements: Johnson Electric experienced a remarkable increase of 17.4%, while HAO TIAN INTL fell by 10.9%, highlighting volatility in smaller stocks.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose slightly by 12 points to close at 26,847, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) fell by 100 points and 4 points, respectively, with a total market turnover of $285.43 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Xiaomi, and Meituan experienced declines, with Tencent dropping 4% to close at $558, while other heavyweights also saw significant short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Trip.com saw a significant drop of 6.1%, while Xinyi Glass and China Shenhua recorded gains of 5.9% and 5.7%, respectively, with several stocks hitting new highs.
Short Selling Trends: Various stocks experienced notable short selling, with Techtronic Industries and China Resources Mixc among those hitting new highs, while others like Kingdee International and Meitu faced substantial declines.

Market Performance: The HSI dropped 109 points (0.4%) to 26,724, while the HSTI fell 119 points (2.2%) to 5,347, and the HSCEI decreased by 48 points (0.5%) to 9,004.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like TENCENT, XIAOMI, and MEITUAN saw declines, with TENCENT down 3.4% and XIAOMI down 2.6%, while BABA fell 0.9%.
Notable Movers: XINYI GLASS and CHINA SHENHUA experienced significant gains, with XINYI GLASS up 6.2% and CHINA SHENHUA up 5.4%, while TRIP.COM-S dropped 6.1%.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, including XIAOMI (20.155%) and MEITUAN (17.261%), indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors.

Profit Forecast: China Shenhua estimates a 6.3-14.7% decline in net profit for 2025, projecting RMB50.8-55.8 billion, which is lower than BOCI's forecast.
Factors Influencing Decline: The anticipated profit drop is attributed to increased coal business costs, changes in sales mix, and challenges in the power sector, including higher coal costs and reduced utilization rates.

Market Decline: Hong Kong stocks experienced significant losses, with the HSI dropping 611 points (2.2%) to close at 26,775, influenced by a volatile commodity market and declining resource stocks.
Precious Metals and Resource Stocks: Gold and silver prices fell sharply, with major companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING seeing declines of over 8%, while resource stocks like JIANGXI COPPER and CHALCO also reported significant losses.
Telecom Sector Impact: Telecom companies faced declines due to an increase in VAT from 6% to 9%, with CHINA UNICOM and CHINA TELECOM dropping over 6%, and CHINA MOBILE falling by 2.3%.
Automotive and Chip Sector Struggles: Automakers reported substantial sales declines, with BYD COMPANY and XPENG-W experiencing drops of 30% YoY and 34% YoY respectively, while the chip sector also faced losses, particularly for SMIC and HUA HONG SEMI.



