Qifu Technology Projects FY25 Net Income to Decrease by 2% or Increase by 1%
Company's Risk Management Focus: The company prioritizes risk control amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and plans to adopt a cautious approach in its business planning for the upcoming quarters.
Fourth Quarter 2025 Projections: For Q4 2025, the company anticipates a net income between RMB0.92 billion and RMB1.12 billion, with a non-GAAP net income of RMB1.0 billion to RMB1.2 billion, indicating a year-on-year decline of 39% to 49%.
Full Year 2025 Income Expectations: The company expects a full-year net income between RMB5.88 billion and RMB6.08 billion, and a non-GAAP net income between RMB6.28 billion and RMB6.48 billion, reflecting a slight year-on-year change of -2% to +1%.
Outlook Subject to Change: The financial outlook provided is based on the company's current and preliminary views, which may be subject to significant changes.
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- Price Range Analysis: The EEM ETF's 52-week low is $38.19 per share, with a high of $63.43, and the last trade at $62.31 indicates strong performance near its peak, reflecting market optimism about its future prospects.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with valuable insights for technical analysis, aiding in the assessment of market trends and potential buy or sell opportunities to optimize investment decisions.
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- Oversold Indicator Analysis: Qfin Holdings Inc's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 28.6, falling below the oversold threshold of 30, indicating that the recent price decline may be nearing exhaustion, attracting investor interest.
- Dividend Yield Advantage: With a current share price of $14.73, QFIN's annualized dividend of $1.52 translates to an annual yield of 10.32%, providing an attractive opportunity for dividend-seeking investors.
- Market Comparison Analysis: Compared to the average RSI of 51.4 for other dividend stocks, QFIN's oversold condition may enhance its investment appeal during potential future rebounds, especially as market sentiment improves.
- Investor Strategy Recommendations: Given QFIN's oversold status, investors may look for buying opportunities, particularly by examining its dividend history to assess the likelihood of future dividend sustainability, enabling more informed investment decisions.
Weak Financial Performance: Qfin Holdings Inc. reported a 0.2% decline in revenue and a 17% drop in net profit for the third quarter, marking its first revenue contraction in over two years, and issued a bearish outlook for the remainder of the year.
Regulatory Challenges: The company faces increased regulatory scrutiny that is expected to impact its loan facilitation business, as new rules emphasize risk management and may limit loan growth.
Rising Default Risks: Qfin's provisions for bad loans surged due to an increase in delinquent loans, reflecting the broader economic challenges in China, where consumer and business borrowing has decreased.
Market Reaction: Following the disappointing quarterly results, Qfin's stock fell significantly, underperforming the market, as investors remain cautious due to the company's high exposure to regulatory and economic changes.

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Qfin Holdings Inc Oversold Status: Shares of Qfin Holdings Inc recently entered oversold territory with an RSI reading of 26.4, indicating potential buying opportunities as the stock price fell to $18.6601.
Dividend Yield Opportunity: The company's annualized dividend of $1.52 per share translates to a yield of 6.78% based on a recent share price of $22.42, making it attractive for dividend investors.
Investor Sentiment: The low RSI suggests that heavy selling may be exhausting, prompting bullish investors to consider entry points for purchasing shares.
Dividend History Importance: Investors are encouraged to review QFIN's dividend history to assess the likelihood of continued dividend payments, as dividends can be unpredictable.

Earnings Performance: Qfin Holdings Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $1.52 per share, missing estimates and showing a decline from $1.74 per share a year ago, resulting in a -9.52% earnings surprise.
Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $731.25 million, exceeding expectations by 6.86% and marking an increase from $622.74 million in the previous year.
Stock Outlook: Qfin Holdings has underperformed the market with a 42.1% decline this year, and its current Zacks Rank is #5 (Strong Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future.
Future Estimates: The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.51, with revenues projected at $665.72 million, while the industry rank suggests potential for better performance in the Financial - Miscellaneous Services sector.






