Opendoor Reports Q4 Revenue Exceeding Expectations, Shares Surge
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 23 2026
0mins
Should l Buy OPEN?
Source: stocktwits
- Revenue Beat: Opendoor's fourth-quarter revenue significantly surpassed market expectations last week, resulting in a boost to its stock price, indicating a strong performance and a recovery in investor confidence.
- CEO Interview Insights: CEO Kaz Nejatian highlighted the company's pivot towards mortgage services in a Stocktwits interview, demonstrating Opendoor's proactive approach to adapting to market changes and seeking new growth avenues.
- Layoff Context: Despite quietly laying off nearly 400 workers in recent months, Opendoor's layoff plans for 2023 and 2024 reflect its commitment to optimizing human resources and enhancing operational efficiency.
- Market Sentiment Positive: Since last Wednesday, sentiment on Stocktwits for OPEN has remained 'extremely bullish', showcasing investor optimism regarding the company's future, particularly in light of its partnership with Lennar Corp.
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Analyst Views on OPEN
Wall Street analysts forecast OPEN stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 5.420
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
Current: 5.420
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
About OPEN
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is an e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions. By leveraging software, data science, product design and operations, the Company is engaged in building a technology platform for residential real estate that offers buyers and sellers a digital, on-demand experience. Its product offerings include Sell to Opendoor, List with Opendoor and Opendoor Marketplace. Sell to Opendoor enables sellers to utilize its core product offering to sell their home directly to it, and it resells the home to a home buyer. By selling to Opendoor, homeowners can avoid the stress of open houses, home repair coordination, overlapping mortgages, and the uncertainty that can come with listing a home on the open market. Its capital-light marketplace offering connects home sellers with both institutional and retail buyers, facilitating transactions without Opendoor taking ownership of the home. Its listing product is available in nearly all Opendoor markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Opendoor Shares Drop as Profitability Path is Questioned
- Earnings Beat Expectations: Opendoor reported fourth-quarter revenue of $736 million, exceeding the $594 million forecast, with an adjusted loss of seven cents per share, better than the anticipated ten-cent loss, indicating structural improvements in pricing and inventory management.
- Inventory Management Improvement: The company purchased 1,706 homes in the quarter, a 46% sequential increase, while the share of properties listed for over 120 days fell from 51% to 33%, helping stabilize unit economics despite a significant GAAP net loss linked to debt extinguishment.
- Cautious Financial Guidance: Opendoor forecasts a revenue decline of about 10% year-over-year for Q1 and anticipates an adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $30 million to $35 million, although it expects to exit the period with its strongest contribution margin since mid-2024.
- Stock Price Volatility Trend: Opendoor shares fell 7.20% to $5.03 on Monday, reflecting investor concerns about the company's profitability path, even as the long-term 200-day moving average has been steadily rising since late summer, indicating an improved long-term trend.
See More
Opendoor Launches 4.99% Mortgage Rate Amid Market Changes
- Mortgage Rate Innovation: CEO Kaz Nejatian announced that Opendoor is offering a 4.99% mortgage rate for buyers, aiming to cut out middlemen by issuing loans directly, thereby enhancing market competitiveness and attracting more buyers.
- Market Reaction Analysis: According to Freddie Mac's survey, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now 5.98%, marking the first drop into the 5% range in three and a half years, and combined with improved home availability, is expected to draw more potential buyers into the market.
- Financial Performance Volatility: Last month, Opendoor reported fourth-quarter revenue exceeding Wall Street estimates but posted an adjusted net loss of $62 million, with a projected 10% sequential revenue decline for the current quarter, highlighting challenges in a capital-intensive market.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Despite Opendoor's stock surging over fourfold in the past 12 months, it remains over 50% below its September peak, while retail sentiment on Stocktwits shifted from 'extremely bullish' to 'bullish', indicating cautious market outlook on the company's future.
See More
Comparative Analysis of Opendoor and Zillow in Housing Tech
- Opendoor's Growth Momentum: In Q4 2025, Opendoor's home purchases surged 46% sequentially to 1,706 homes, indicating the success of its 'Opendoor 2.0' transformation, which is expected to enhance market share and profitability.
- Zillow's Super App Strategy: Zillow is focusing on its 'housing super app' model, with continued growth in its Residential segment in Q4 2025, driven by AI search functionality and improved digital shopping tools, which are anticipated to boost user engagement and transaction volume.
- Financial Performance Comparison: Opendoor is projected to see a 1.5% year-over-year decline in sales for 2026, but a 42.3% increase in earnings per share; in contrast, Zillow's sales and EPS are expected to rise by 15.1% and 28.1%, respectively, highlighting their differing market performances.
- Market Valuation Discrepancy: Over the past year, Opendoor's stock skyrocketed by 278.3%, while Zillow's fell by 38.9%, with Opendoor's forward price-to-sales ratio at 0.83, significantly below the industry average of 3.87, indicating its more attractive investment potential.
See More
MarketBeat Weekly Recap – February 23 to February 27
Market Trends: Investors are shifting from technology stocks to traditional defensive assets like gold, with evidence suggesting a rotation towards blue-chip stocks as tech stocks remain under pressure.
Earnings Reports: Anticipation surrounds upcoming earnings reports, particularly from companies like NVIDIA and PayPal, with analysts highlighting strong performance expectations and potential growth opportunities.
AI Sector: The AI infrastructure trade continues to be a significant market driver, with investors advised to focus on key stocks within the AI supply chain that are expected to perform well.
Investment Opportunities: Analysts recommend looking for undervalued stocks, particularly in the retail sector, as well as identifying potential long-term opportunities amidst market volatility and recent sell-offs.
See More
Opendoor Reports Strong Q4 Results, Shares Rise
- Revenue Beat: Opendoor reported $736 million in revenue for the December quarter, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $594 million, indicating improvements in unit economics and faster inventory turnover despite a year-over-year decline in total revenue and gross profit.
- Increased Home Purchases: The company purchased 1,706 homes in the quarter, a 46% sequential increase, while reducing the share of properties listed for over 120 days from 51% to 33%, reflecting a rebound in market demand and enhanced operational efficiency.
- Profitability Outlook: CEO Kaz Nejatian highlighted that the latest results demonstrate
See More
Opendoor's New CEO Strategy Shows Early Progress
- Performance Recovery: Under new CEO Nejatian, Opendoor aims to achieve break-even adjusted net income by year-end, showing potential for cash flow to cover operating expenses despite high home purchase costs.
- Increased Transaction Velocity: The October acquisition cohort sold at over twice the rate of the October 2024 cohort, with 50% already sold or under contract, indicating significant progress in improving transaction efficiency.
- Surge in Acquisitions: Opendoor's acquisition volume increased by 300% sequentially in Q4 2025, purchasing 537 homes in the last week of the quarter, demonstrating its commitment and capability for market expansion.
- Successful Product Expansion: The Cash Plus plan accounted for 35% of contracts in the last week, up from 19% in the previous quarter, reflecting positive changes in meeting customer demand.
See More
Opendoor Shares Drop as Profitability Path is Questioned
- Earnings Beat Expectations: Opendoor reported fourth-quarter revenue of $736 million, exceeding the $594 million forecast, with an adjusted loss of seven cents per share, better than the anticipated ten-cent loss, indicating structural improvements in pricing and inventory management.
- Inventory Management Improvement: The company purchased 1,706 homes in the quarter, a 46% sequential increase, while the share of properties listed for over 120 days fell from 51% to 33%, helping stabilize unit economics despite a significant GAAP net loss linked to debt extinguishment.
- Cautious Financial Guidance: Opendoor forecasts a revenue decline of about 10% year-over-year for Q1 and anticipates an adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $30 million to $35 million, although it expects to exit the period with its strongest contribution margin since mid-2024.
- Stock Price Volatility Trend: Opendoor shares fell 7.20% to $5.03 on Monday, reflecting investor concerns about the company's profitability path, even as the long-term 200-day moving average has been steadily rising since late summer, indicating an improved long-term trend.
See More
Opendoor Launches 4.99% Mortgage Rate Amid Market Changes
- Mortgage Rate Innovation: CEO Kaz Nejatian announced that Opendoor is offering a 4.99% mortgage rate for buyers, aiming to cut out middlemen by issuing loans directly, thereby enhancing market competitiveness and attracting more buyers.
- Market Reaction Analysis: According to Freddie Mac's survey, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now 5.98%, marking the first drop into the 5% range in three and a half years, and combined with improved home availability, is expected to draw more potential buyers into the market.
- Financial Performance Volatility: Last month, Opendoor reported fourth-quarter revenue exceeding Wall Street estimates but posted an adjusted net loss of $62 million, with a projected 10% sequential revenue decline for the current quarter, highlighting challenges in a capital-intensive market.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Despite Opendoor's stock surging over fourfold in the past 12 months, it remains over 50% below its September peak, while retail sentiment on Stocktwits shifted from 'extremely bullish' to 'bullish', indicating cautious market outlook on the company's future.
See More
Comparative Analysis of Opendoor and Zillow in Housing Tech
- Opendoor's Growth Momentum: In Q4 2025, Opendoor's home purchases surged 46% sequentially to 1,706 homes, indicating the success of its 'Opendoor 2.0' transformation, which is expected to enhance market share and profitability.
- Zillow's Super App Strategy: Zillow is focusing on its 'housing super app' model, with continued growth in its Residential segment in Q4 2025, driven by AI search functionality and improved digital shopping tools, which are anticipated to boost user engagement and transaction volume.
- Financial Performance Comparison: Opendoor is projected to see a 1.5% year-over-year decline in sales for 2026, but a 42.3% increase in earnings per share; in contrast, Zillow's sales and EPS are expected to rise by 15.1% and 28.1%, respectively, highlighting their differing market performances.
- Market Valuation Discrepancy: Over the past year, Opendoor's stock skyrocketed by 278.3%, while Zillow's fell by 38.9%, with Opendoor's forward price-to-sales ratio at 0.83, significantly below the industry average of 3.87, indicating its more attractive investment potential.
See More
MarketBeat Weekly Recap – February 23 to February 27
Market Trends: Investors are shifting from technology stocks to traditional defensive assets like gold, with evidence suggesting a rotation towards blue-chip stocks as tech stocks remain under pressure.
Earnings Reports: Anticipation surrounds upcoming earnings reports, particularly from companies like NVIDIA and PayPal, with analysts highlighting strong performance expectations and potential growth opportunities.
AI Sector: The AI infrastructure trade continues to be a significant market driver, with investors advised to focus on key stocks within the AI supply chain that are expected to perform well.
Investment Opportunities: Analysts recommend looking for undervalued stocks, particularly in the retail sector, as well as identifying potential long-term opportunities amidst market volatility and recent sell-offs.
See More
Opendoor Reports Strong Q4 Results, Shares Rise
- Revenue Beat: Opendoor reported $736 million in revenue for the December quarter, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $594 million, indicating improvements in unit economics and faster inventory turnover despite a year-over-year decline in total revenue and gross profit.
- Increased Home Purchases: The company purchased 1,706 homes in the quarter, a 46% sequential increase, while reducing the share of properties listed for over 120 days from 51% to 33%, reflecting a rebound in market demand and enhanced operational efficiency.
- Profitability Outlook: CEO Kaz Nejatian highlighted that the latest results demonstrate
See More
Opendoor's New CEO Strategy Shows Early Progress
- Performance Recovery: Under new CEO Nejatian, Opendoor aims to achieve break-even adjusted net income by year-end, showing potential for cash flow to cover operating expenses despite high home purchase costs.
- Increased Transaction Velocity: The October acquisition cohort sold at over twice the rate of the October 2024 cohort, with 50% already sold or under contract, indicating significant progress in improving transaction efficiency.
- Surge in Acquisitions: Opendoor's acquisition volume increased by 300% sequentially in Q4 2025, purchasing 537 homes in the last week of the quarter, demonstrating its commitment and capability for market expansion.
- Successful Product Expansion: The Cash Plus plan accounted for 35% of contracts in the last week, up from 19% in the previous quarter, reflecting positive changes in meeting customer demand.
See More
