On Holding Scheduled to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 3
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy ONON?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement: On Holding is set to announce its Q4 earnings on March 3 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.28, reflecting a 15.2% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $946.37 million, indicating a robust 56.0% year-over-year growth, which could significantly impact the company's stock performance.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, On Holding has surpassed EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 100% of the time, demonstrating the company's financial stability and fostering market confidence in its operations.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced five upward revisions and two downward adjustments, indicating mixed analyst sentiment that could influence investor decisions.
- Competitive Landscape: To tackle high labor costs and tariffs, On Holding has implemented robotic technology in its plants, which not only reduces operational costs but also strengthens its competitive position against giants like Nike and Adidas.
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Analyst Views on ONON
Wall Street analysts forecast ONON stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 46.760
Low
30.00
Averages
60.79
High
85.00
Current: 46.760
Low
30.00
Averages
60.79
High
85.00
About ONON
On Holding AG is a Switzerland-based company active in athletic sports accesories industry. The Company provides footwear and sports apparel and is engaged in developing and distributing performance sports products, through independent retailers and global distributors. The Company sells its products trough the internet and its own stores.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
On Holding Reports Disappointing Q4 Earnings Guidance
- Earnings Beat: On Holding reported adjusted earnings per share of 31 cents for Q4, surpassing the analyst estimate of 18 cents, yet the stock fell 7.46% amid a broader market sell-off, indicating investor concerns.
- Disappointing Revenue Guidance: The company expects fiscal year 2026 net sales to exceed $4.304 billion, trailing the $4.590 billion analysts had anticipated, suggesting potential growth challenges ahead.
- Record Gross Margin: The fourth-quarter gross profit margin reached 63.9%, up 180 basis points year-over-year, attributed to operational efficiencies and strong full-price execution, highlighting effective cost management strategies.
- Strong Cash Flow: As of December 31, cash and cash equivalents rose 10.3% year-over-year to 1.019 billion Swiss Francs, with net working capital expanding 14.3%, reflecting a robust financial position for the company.
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- Natural Gas Price Spike: European natural gas prices surged more than 22% to a three-year high after Qatar's Ras Laffan plant was targeted by an Iranian drone attack, posing significant risks to global liquefied natural gas supply and market stability.
- Economic Data Expectations: This week, the ADP employment change is expected to increase by 50,000, while the ISM services index is projected to slip slightly, with markets closely monitoring these indicators to assess economic health and potential implications for Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.
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- Oil Price Surge: The escalating conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran has driven West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices up by 6.4% to $75.8 per barrel, marking the largest two-day rally since March 2022, indicating heightened market concerns over energy supply disruptions.
- Market Panic Intensifies: The CBOE Volatility Index surged by 6% to 22.74, reflecting increased investor fear regarding short-term market volatility, with all 11 S&P 500 sectors trading in the red, showcasing widespread market pressure.
- Fed Policy Expectations Shift: Amid rising inflation fears, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed from 3.97% last Friday to approximately 4.06%, leading traders to reprice expectations for Fed rate cuts, now anticipating fewer chances of cuts in 2026.
- Strong Dollar Impact: The U.S. dollar index is on track for its largest two-day gain since February 2023, resulting in significant declines in gold and silver prices, with spot gold falling 4.6% to around $5,080 per ounce and silver plummeting 7.8% to $82 per ounce, highlighting the dollar's pressure on commodity markets.
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On Holding Reports Strong Earnings but Stock Drops
- Significant Sales Growth: On Holding reported a 35.6% year-over-year increase in sales, surpassing 3 billion Swiss francs (approximately $3.84 billion) for the first time, although it fell short of analysts' expectations of 3.7 billion francs, indicating strong market demand but raising investor concerns.
- Profitability Improvement: The company's gross profit margin reached 62.8%, leading the industry and demonstrating high brand value and customer loyalty, allowing it to avoid holiday discounts and maintain profitability, thereby enhancing future market competitiveness.
- Stock Volatility: Despite strong earnings, On Holding's stock dropped as much as 14.3% following the report, with a 6.95% decline as of 2:08 PM, reflecting market caution regarding future growth expectations.
- Investment Opportunity: With the stock down about 10% over the past year, analysts suggest investors consider buying at the current dip, believing On Holding possesses a consumer base and brand recognition akin to global luxury brands, with potential for price and margin increases in the future.
See More
On Holding Reports 35.6% Sales Growth but Stock Drops
- Significant Sales Growth: On Holding reported a 35.6% year-over-year sales increase, surpassing 3 billion Swiss francs (approximately $3.84 billion) for the first time, although it fell short of analysts' expectations of 3.7 billion francs.
- Industry-Leading Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin rose to 62.8%, positioning it as a leader in the industry, indicating strong brand value and consumer willingness to pay full price, which helped avoid the holiday discount pressures faced by competitors.
- Stock Price Volatility Opportunity: Despite a 14.3% drop in stock price following the earnings report, currently down about 10% from last year, this presents a buying opportunity for investors, especially given its strong brand influence and market recognition.
- Cautious Future Outlook: While revenue is projected to approach 3.5 billion Swiss francs by 2026, the failure to meet market expectations necessitates caution among investors, particularly as analysts did not include it in their list of top investment stocks.
See More
Global Stock Markets Plunge as Oil Prices Surge Amid Iran Conflict
- Stock Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 2.18%, reaching a 3.25-month low, indicating market concerns over the Iran conflict that may lead to decreased investor confidence and increased volatility.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices rose over 8% to an 8.5-month high due to Iran's threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, potentially causing long-term disruptions in global energy markets and raising inflation expectations.
- Rising Bond Yields: The 10-year German bund yield climbed to a 2.5-week high of 2.814%, reflecting market worries about future inflation, which may prompt investors to shift towards bonds for safety.
- Economic Data Focus: This week, the market will focus on U.S. employment data and economic indicators, with the ADP employment change expected to rise by 40,000 and the ISM services index anticipated to slip slightly, indicating potential economic slowdown.
See More
On Holding Reports Disappointing Q4 Earnings Guidance
- Earnings Beat: On Holding reported adjusted earnings per share of 31 cents for Q4, surpassing the analyst estimate of 18 cents, yet the stock fell 7.46% amid a broader market sell-off, indicating investor concerns.
- Disappointing Revenue Guidance: The company expects fiscal year 2026 net sales to exceed $4.304 billion, trailing the $4.590 billion analysts had anticipated, suggesting potential growth challenges ahead.
- Record Gross Margin: The fourth-quarter gross profit margin reached 63.9%, up 180 basis points year-over-year, attributed to operational efficiencies and strong full-price execution, highlighting effective cost management strategies.
- Strong Cash Flow: As of December 31, cash and cash equivalents rose 10.3% year-over-year to 1.019 billion Swiss Francs, with net working capital expanding 14.3%, reflecting a robust financial position for the company.
See More
Global Stock Markets Retreat as Oil Prices Surge
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.94%, reaching a 3.25-month low, reflecting investor concerns over escalating tensions in Iran, which may impact future investment decisions and market stability.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices rose over 4% to an 8.5-month high due to threats from Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, intensifying fears of energy supply disruptions and potential inflationary pressures in the economy.
- Natural Gas Price Spike: European natural gas prices surged more than 22% to a three-year high after Qatar's Ras Laffan plant was targeted by an Iranian drone attack, posing significant risks to global liquefied natural gas supply and market stability.
- Economic Data Expectations: This week, the ADP employment change is expected to increase by 50,000, while the ISM services index is projected to slip slightly, with markets closely monitoring these indicators to assess economic health and potential implications for Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.
See More
Wall Street Plummets Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions
- Oil Price Surge: The escalating conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran has driven West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices up by 6.4% to $75.8 per barrel, marking the largest two-day rally since March 2022, indicating heightened market concerns over energy supply disruptions.
- Market Panic Intensifies: The CBOE Volatility Index surged by 6% to 22.74, reflecting increased investor fear regarding short-term market volatility, with all 11 S&P 500 sectors trading in the red, showcasing widespread market pressure.
- Fed Policy Expectations Shift: Amid rising inflation fears, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed from 3.97% last Friday to approximately 4.06%, leading traders to reprice expectations for Fed rate cuts, now anticipating fewer chances of cuts in 2026.
- Strong Dollar Impact: The U.S. dollar index is on track for its largest two-day gain since February 2023, resulting in significant declines in gold and silver prices, with spot gold falling 4.6% to around $5,080 per ounce and silver plummeting 7.8% to $82 per ounce, highlighting the dollar's pressure on commodity markets.
See More
On Holding Reports Strong Earnings but Stock Drops
- Significant Sales Growth: On Holding reported a 35.6% year-over-year increase in sales, surpassing 3 billion Swiss francs (approximately $3.84 billion) for the first time, although it fell short of analysts' expectations of 3.7 billion francs, indicating strong market demand but raising investor concerns.
- Profitability Improvement: The company's gross profit margin reached 62.8%, leading the industry and demonstrating high brand value and customer loyalty, allowing it to avoid holiday discounts and maintain profitability, thereby enhancing future market competitiveness.
- Stock Volatility: Despite strong earnings, On Holding's stock dropped as much as 14.3% following the report, with a 6.95% decline as of 2:08 PM, reflecting market caution regarding future growth expectations.
- Investment Opportunity: With the stock down about 10% over the past year, analysts suggest investors consider buying at the current dip, believing On Holding possesses a consumer base and brand recognition akin to global luxury brands, with potential for price and margin increases in the future.
See More
On Holding Reports 35.6% Sales Growth but Stock Drops
- Significant Sales Growth: On Holding reported a 35.6% year-over-year sales increase, surpassing 3 billion Swiss francs (approximately $3.84 billion) for the first time, although it fell short of analysts' expectations of 3.7 billion francs.
- Industry-Leading Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin rose to 62.8%, positioning it as a leader in the industry, indicating strong brand value and consumer willingness to pay full price, which helped avoid the holiday discount pressures faced by competitors.
- Stock Price Volatility Opportunity: Despite a 14.3% drop in stock price following the earnings report, currently down about 10% from last year, this presents a buying opportunity for investors, especially given its strong brand influence and market recognition.
- Cautious Future Outlook: While revenue is projected to approach 3.5 billion Swiss francs by 2026, the failure to meet market expectations necessitates caution among investors, particularly as analysts did not include it in their list of top investment stocks.
See More
Global Stock Markets Plunge as Oil Prices Surge Amid Iran Conflict
- Stock Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 2.18%, reaching a 3.25-month low, indicating market concerns over the Iran conflict that may lead to decreased investor confidence and increased volatility.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices rose over 8% to an 8.5-month high due to Iran's threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, potentially causing long-term disruptions in global energy markets and raising inflation expectations.
- Rising Bond Yields: The 10-year German bund yield climbed to a 2.5-week high of 2.814%, reflecting market worries about future inflation, which may prompt investors to shift towards bonds for safety.
- Economic Data Focus: This week, the market will focus on U.S. employment data and economic indicators, with the ADP employment change expected to rise by 40,000 and the ISM services index anticipated to slip slightly, indicating potential economic slowdown.
See More
