Moderna Inc (MRNA) Projects $1.9 Billion Revenue for 2025, Shares Surge 12.8%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 13 2026
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Should l Buy MRNA?
Source: Benzinga
- Revenue Forecast Increase: At the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, Moderna announced an expected revenue of approximately $1.9 billion for 2025, which is $100 million above the previously communicated midpoint, enhancing investor confidence and driving stock price up.
- Operating Expense Improvement: The company also lowered its projected GAAP operating expenses for 2025 by $200 million, demonstrating improved cost control capabilities that lay a solid foundation for future profitability.
- Increased Cash Balance: Moderna anticipates an end-of-year cash balance of approximately $8.1 billion, providing strong support for the company's R&D and market expansion efforts, further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Stock Performance: Following the positive news, Moderna's stock surged 12.8% to $38.20 on Tuesday, reflecting market optimism regarding its future growth potential.
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Analyst Views on MRNA
Wall Street analysts forecast MRNA stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
16 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 53.570
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
Current: 53.570
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
About MRNA
Moderna, Inc. is a biotechnology company. The Company is advancing a new class of medicines made of messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). It is developing therapeutics and vaccines for infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases and autoimmune diseases. mRNA medicines are designed to direct the body’s cells to produce intracellular, membrane or secreted proteins that have a therapeutic or preventive benefit with the potential to address a spectrum of diseases. The Company’s diverse development pipeline consists of 44 therapeutic and vaccine programs, 11 of which are in late-stage development. Its commercial products include Spikevax (its COVID vaccine) and mRESVIA (its respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine). Additionally, it has achieved four positive Phase III data readouts for its COVID vaccine (mRNA-1283), its RSV vaccine for high-risk adults aged 18 to 59 (mRNA-1345), its seasonal flu+COVID vaccine (mRNA-1083), and its seasonal flu vaccine (mRNA-1010).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Vaccine Approval Recommendation: The European Medicines Agency has recommended marketing authorization for Moderna's combined COVID-19 and influenza vaccine, mCombriax, highlighting its significance for the elderly population.
- Clinical Trial Data: The recommendation is based on data from 8,000 individuals aged 50 and older, demonstrating that antibody levels against flu and SARS-CoV-2 were non-inferior to those receiving the COVID vaccine Spikevax and flu vaccines Fluzone HD or Fluarix, indicating its efficacy.
- Market Potential: Targeting individuals aged 50 and older, mCombriax addresses the dual protection needs of the elderly, which is expected to drive further growth for Moderna in the vaccine market.
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- New Product Development: Despite challenges, Moderna received approval for its respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine in 2024 and plans to expand its seasonal vaccine portfolio, including a flu vaccine, aiming to drive future growth through product diversification.
- Regulatory Dynamics Shift: Although the FDA initially refused to review Moderna's flu vaccine application, the agency reversed its decision after the company proposed a revised regulatory approach, planning to reassess the candidate, which could provide new options for the upcoming flu season if successful.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: Moderna expects to achieve cash breakeven by 2028 through seasonal vaccine sales and has reiterated its forecast for up to 10% revenue growth this year, indicating strong long-term potential in the biotechnology sector.
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