Major US Indices Close Higher as Markets Price in Fed Rate Cut This Month
The major averages closed broadly higher as markets are now pricing in a high probability of a Fed rate cut this month. The current optimism follows a choppy start to the week, which saw bond yields spike and crypto slump, but those pressures have eased for now. Concerns about AI valuations and investment are also reflected in the markets, however, as Microsoft was slipping after The Information said the company was lowering software sales quotas linked to AI, though Microsoft denied the report.Looking to commodities, gold prices edged higher as the "safe haven" asset looks to hit the $4,300 threshold one again. Oil prices were also higher following yesterday's API crude numbers and this morning's DOE data.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:Microsofthas cut targets for salespeople on certain AI products,, though the company told CNBC it has not lowered sales targetsAnthropic has picked a law firm to start work on its IPO,Marvellreportedand agreed to acquire Celestial AI in a roughly $3.25B dealMacy'sprovided areport for Q3American Eaglereportedearnings and revenue2. WALL STREET CALLS:AreteUberwith autonomous vehicles risk seen as overdoneVertexto Overweight at Morgan StanleyWayfairto Hold at JefferiesJPMorganWendy'spending more defined strategyOraclewith an Overweight at Wells Fargo3. AROUND THE WEB:Teslaregistrations in Europe in November fell 36.3% excluding Norway,Appledesign executive Alan Dye is leaving the company for Meta,Eli Lillywill delay resuming U.K. investments until it observes changes in drug approvals, despite a recent U.S.-U.K. agreement to raise NHS drug spending and ease approval for costly medicines,Saudi Arabia's government investment fund, the Public Investment Fund, PIF, is set to take nearly full ownership of Electronic Arts,Netflix'sproposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery'sstudios and streaming unit would likely lower the costs for consumers by bundling Netflix and HBO Max,4. MOVERS:Capricor Therapeuticsincreases after announcing Phase 3 HOPE-3 studyPharvarisgains in New York after announcing its RAPIDe-3 studySpirit AeroSystemshigher after the FTC said Boeingwill have to divestto resolve antitrust concernsAlexandria Real Estatelower afterPure Storageand GitLabfall after5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Sprinklr, with EPS and revenue beating consensusEnbridgeprovidedand FY26Thor Industries, with CEO Bob Martin commenting, "The quarter finished stronger than we expected"Dollar Treeand raised its guidance for FY25PayPalINDEXES:The Dow rose 408.44, or 0.86%, to 47,882.90, the Nasdaq gained 40.42, or 0.17%, to 23,454.09, and the S&P 500 advanced 20.35, or 0.30%, to 6,849.72.
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- Investment Performance: Bill Ackman's main investment vehicle has experienced an 11% decline in 2026.
- Future Plans: Ackman is preparing for a potential public offering of his management company and a new closed-end equity fund.
- Walmart Earnings Surprise: Walmart reported earnings of $0.74 per share, exceeding expectations, although its conservative guidance raises concerns about potential economic slowdown as its market share among high-income households grows.
- Record E-commerce Penetration: Walmart's e-commerce penetration reached 23%, a record high, driving operating income growth and demonstrating success in its digital transformation, thereby enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Booking Holdings Stock Volatility: Despite Booking Holdings posting strong earnings and guiding for 15% revenue growth next quarter, its shares fell 7.5%, indicating investor concerns over its stock split announcement and future growth prospects.
- eBay Acquires Etsy's Depop: eBay's acquisition of Etsy's Depop business for over $1 billion has been positively received by the market, but analysts warn that this may impact eBay's shareholder returns, while Etsy benefits from cash flow, making it the bigger winner in the deal.
- Earnings Beat: Walmart reported earnings of $0.74 per share, exceeding expectations, and while its guidance remains conservative, the company's historical trend of raising forecasts suggests potential for future growth, enhancing investor confidence.
- Record E-commerce Penetration: Walmart's e-commerce penetration reached 23%, a record high, which not only boosts operating income but also indicates successful digital transformation, further solidifying its market position.
- Booking Holdings Stock Volatility: Despite Booking Holdings posting strong earnings, its stock fell 7.5%, indicating market skepticism towards its 25-for-1 stock split, even as it forecasts 15% revenue growth for the upcoming quarter, reflecting investor concerns about future growth.
- Etsy and eBay Acquisition Deal: eBay's acquisition of Etsy's Depop business was met with positive market reactions, but analysts suggest Etsy is the bigger winner, gaining cash flow while shedding a distraction, highlighting its successful strategic realignment.
- Peloton's Valuation Struggles: Peloton's price-to-sales ratio is under 0.7, significantly lower than the historical average of 4.1, indicating a 98% drop from its all-time high, which reflects the company's ongoing decline.
- Declining Revenue: In Q2 2026, Peloton reported revenue of $656.5 million, down 3% year-over-year and 38% lower than Q2 2021, highlighting a shrinking user base and limited market opportunity.
- Uber's Market Potential: With over 200 million users, Uber's management is optimistic about the risks of autonomous vehicles, believing that human drivers will remain essential during peak demand, showcasing its advantageous market position.
- Strong Financial Performance: Uber's revenue and operating income are projected to grow at compound annual rates of 12.9% and 32.1% from 2025 to 2028, while a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.6 presents an attractive investment opportunity.
- Peloton Valuation: Peloton's market cap is significantly below its trailing 12-month revenue, with a current price-to-sales ratio under 0.7 compared to a historical average of 4.1, indicating severe undervaluation, yet analysts warn it may be a value trap.
- Declining Revenue: Peloton reported revenue of $656.5 million in Q2 2026, down 3% year-over-year and 38% lower than Q2 2021, highlighting a shrinking business with a declining user base.
- Uber's Competitive Edge: With over 200 million users, Uber's management is optimistic about the risks of autonomous vehicles, believing that human drivers remain essential during peak demand, and partnerships with numerous AV companies bolster its market position.
- Uber's Financial Outlook: Uber's revenue and operating income are projected to grow at compound annual rates of 12.9% and 32.1% from 2025 to 2028, indicating strong growth potential, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 15.6 presenting a smart buying opportunity.
- Financial Lessons: Winston lost $400,000 monthly early in his career due to family and friends' spending, prompting him to reassess financial decisions and emphasize the importance of teamwork and adaptability.
- Investment Strategy Shift: He now focuses on investing in areas he loves, such as sports and tech, adopting a more cautious approach to evaluate opportunities, thereby avoiding past financial mistakes.
- Market Dynamics: According to managing partner Jim Neesen, there are about 1,600 global unicorns, with 345 IPOs in the U.S. last year, projected to rise to 400 by 2026, indicating signs of market recovery.
- Investor Advice: Neesen advises new retail investors to thoroughly understand companies before investing rather than chasing day-one hype, to build stronger confidence and understanding in the market.








