Long-Term Care Cost Growth Moderates in 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 19 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy GNW?
Source: Newsfilter
- Cost Overview: The CareScout 2025 Cost of Care Survey indicates a 3% year-over-year increase in the national median hourly rate for non-medical caregiver services to $35, resulting in an annual cost of $80,080, aligning with broader inflation and wage growth trends.
- Private Duty Nursing: Newly included in the 2025 survey, the national median hourly rate for private duty nursing is reported at $90, with a median per-visit rate of $160, reflecting how medical needs influence service utilization patterns.
- Adult Day Health Care: The national median daily rate for adult day health care services declined by 5% to $95 per day, equating to an annual cost of $24,700, indicating that this service remains a relatively affordable option in many markets.
- Facility Costs: The national median monthly cost for assisted living communities increased by 5% to $6,200, totaling $74,400 annually, demonstrating the ongoing rise in facility costs closely tied to broader rental market trends.
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Analyst Views on GNW
Wall Street analysts forecast GNW stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 8.440
Low
10.00
Averages
10.00
High
10.00
Current: 8.440
Low
10.00
Averages
10.00
High
10.00
About GNW
Genworth Financial, Inc., through its principal insurance subsidiaries, offers mortgage and long-term care insurance products. The Company is the holding company of Enact Holdings, Inc (Enact Holdings). The Company operates through three segments: Enact, Long-Term Care Insurance, and Life and Annuities. Through Enact Holdings and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries, it provides private mortgage insurance products and services in the United States and operates in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The Enact segment is engaged in the business of writing and assuming residential mortgage guaranty insurance. The Long-Term Care Insurance segment includes long-term care insurance products. The Life and Annuities segment includes traditional and non-traditional life insurance (term, universal and term universal life insurance as well as corporate-owned life insurance and funding agreements), fixed annuities and variable annuities.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Long-Term Care Cost Growth Moderates in 2025
- Cost Overview: The CareScout 2025 Cost of Care Survey indicates a 3% year-over-year increase in the national median hourly rate for non-medical caregiver services to $35, resulting in an annual cost of $80,080, aligning with broader inflation and wage growth trends.
- Private Duty Nursing: Newly included in the 2025 survey, the national median hourly rate for private duty nursing is reported at $90, with a median per-visit rate of $160, reflecting how medical needs influence service utilization patterns.
- Adult Day Health Care: The national median daily rate for adult day health care services declined by 5% to $95 per day, equating to an annual cost of $24,700, indicating that this service remains a relatively affordable option in many markets.
- Facility Costs: The national median monthly cost for assisted living communities increased by 5% to $6,200, totaling $74,400 annually, demonstrating the ongoing rise in facility costs closely tied to broader rental market trends.
See More
Genworth Financial Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Financial Performance: Genworth reported a net income of $2 million and adjusted operating income of $8 million for Q4 2025, primarily driven by a $146 million contribution from Enact, while facing a $114 million loss in the Closed Block, highlighting both challenges and opportunities in its business structure.
- Shareholder Returns: By the end of 2025, Genworth received $407 million in cash from its 81% stake in Enact, facilitating approximately $828 million in stock repurchases, which reduced shares outstanding by about 24%, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder value creation.
- CareScout Expansion: The long-term growth strategy of CareScout has expanded to 790 home care providers and over 1,000 locations, covering 97% of the U.S. population aged 65 and older, with 3,255 matches facilitated in 2025, surpassing initial targets and indicating strong market demand.
- Future Outlook: Genworth expects to receive around $405 million from Enact in 2026 and plans to allocate between $175 million and $225 million for share repurchases, demonstrating the company's ability to adapt to market conditions while maintaining confidence in sustained growth.
See More
Genworth Financial Reports Revenue Growth in Q4 2025
- Profit Reversal: Genworth Financial reported a net profit of $2 million for Q4 2025, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $1 million in the same quarter last year, indicating a gradual recovery in financial health that boosts investor confidence.
- Operating Income Decline: Despite the profit rebound, the operating income, excluding items, was $8 million, or $0.02 per share, down from $15 million and $0.04 per share a year ago, highlighting ongoing challenges in cost control and revenue growth.
- Premium Revenue Growth: Premiums for the fourth quarter reached $886 million, up from $876 million a year earlier, reflecting stable performance in a competitive market, which may support future revenue growth.
- Investment Income Dip: Net investment income decreased to $785 million from $793 million a year ago, indicating the impact of market conditions on investment returns, suggesting a need for the company to adjust its investment strategy to navigate future uncertainties.
See More
Genworth Financial Reports Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Per Share: Genworth Financial reported a non-GAAP EPS of $0.02 for Q4, which, while flat year-over-year, indicates the company's efforts to maintain stable profitability amidst market fluctuations, reflecting resilience.
- Stable Revenue: The company achieved revenue of $1.78 billion in Q4, remaining unchanged from the previous year, demonstrating Genworth's ability to sustain its revenue levels in a competitive financial environment, highlighting business stability.
- Market Opportunity Analysis: Analysts suggest that Genworth Financial presents a deep value sum-of-the-parts opportunity, indicating that the company may unlock potential value through asset restructuring or strategic adjustments, attracting investor interest.
- Quant Rating Insight: Seeking Alpha's quant rating on Genworth Financial reflects a cautiously optimistic market outlook for its future performance, suggesting that while current financial data shows no significant growth, potential value re-evaluation could present opportunities for investors.
See More
Forget Arizona and Florida: These States Could Be the Top Choices for a Healthy Retirement.
- Retirement Rankings: Florida and Arizona are frequently recognized as top destinations for retirement in the U.S.
- Attractive Features: The states offer appealing factors such as abundant sunshine, low taxes, and affordable housing options.
- Recreational Activities: Access to recreational activities, particularly pickleball, enhances their attractiveness for retirees.
- Overall Appeal: The combination of climate, financial benefits, and leisure activities makes these states popular among retirees.
See More
Explore the Details: FNCL Projected to Rise by 12%
ETF Performance Analysis: The Fidelity MSCI Financials Index ETF (FNCL) has an implied analyst target price of $84.77, indicating a potential upside of 12.48% from its current trading price of $75.37.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings such as Genworth Financial (GNW), Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB), and HCI Group Inc (HCI) show significant upside potential, with target prices exceeding their recent trading prices by 17.79%, 15.23%, and 14.09%, respectively.
Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high targets could lead to downgrades if they are based on outdated information.
Investor Research Importance: It emphasizes the need for further investor research to assess the validity of analyst targets in light of recent company and industry developments.
See More
Long-Term Care Cost Growth Moderates in 2025
- Cost Overview: The CareScout 2025 Cost of Care Survey indicates a 3% year-over-year increase in the national median hourly rate for non-medical caregiver services to $35, resulting in an annual cost of $80,080, aligning with broader inflation and wage growth trends.
- Private Duty Nursing: Newly included in the 2025 survey, the national median hourly rate for private duty nursing is reported at $90, with a median per-visit rate of $160, reflecting how medical needs influence service utilization patterns.
- Adult Day Health Care: The national median daily rate for adult day health care services declined by 5% to $95 per day, equating to an annual cost of $24,700, indicating that this service remains a relatively affordable option in many markets.
- Facility Costs: The national median monthly cost for assisted living communities increased by 5% to $6,200, totaling $74,400 annually, demonstrating the ongoing rise in facility costs closely tied to broader rental market trends.
See More
Genworth Financial Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Financial Performance: Genworth reported a net income of $2 million and adjusted operating income of $8 million for Q4 2025, primarily driven by a $146 million contribution from Enact, while facing a $114 million loss in the Closed Block, highlighting both challenges and opportunities in its business structure.
- Shareholder Returns: By the end of 2025, Genworth received $407 million in cash from its 81% stake in Enact, facilitating approximately $828 million in stock repurchases, which reduced shares outstanding by about 24%, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder value creation.
- CareScout Expansion: The long-term growth strategy of CareScout has expanded to 790 home care providers and over 1,000 locations, covering 97% of the U.S. population aged 65 and older, with 3,255 matches facilitated in 2025, surpassing initial targets and indicating strong market demand.
- Future Outlook: Genworth expects to receive around $405 million from Enact in 2026 and plans to allocate between $175 million and $225 million for share repurchases, demonstrating the company's ability to adapt to market conditions while maintaining confidence in sustained growth.
See More
Genworth Financial Reports Revenue Growth in Q4 2025
- Profit Reversal: Genworth Financial reported a net profit of $2 million for Q4 2025, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $1 million in the same quarter last year, indicating a gradual recovery in financial health that boosts investor confidence.
- Operating Income Decline: Despite the profit rebound, the operating income, excluding items, was $8 million, or $0.02 per share, down from $15 million and $0.04 per share a year ago, highlighting ongoing challenges in cost control and revenue growth.
- Premium Revenue Growth: Premiums for the fourth quarter reached $886 million, up from $876 million a year earlier, reflecting stable performance in a competitive market, which may support future revenue growth.
- Investment Income Dip: Net investment income decreased to $785 million from $793 million a year ago, indicating the impact of market conditions on investment returns, suggesting a need for the company to adjust its investment strategy to navigate future uncertainties.
See More
Genworth Financial Reports Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Per Share: Genworth Financial reported a non-GAAP EPS of $0.02 for Q4, which, while flat year-over-year, indicates the company's efforts to maintain stable profitability amidst market fluctuations, reflecting resilience.
- Stable Revenue: The company achieved revenue of $1.78 billion in Q4, remaining unchanged from the previous year, demonstrating Genworth's ability to sustain its revenue levels in a competitive financial environment, highlighting business stability.
- Market Opportunity Analysis: Analysts suggest that Genworth Financial presents a deep value sum-of-the-parts opportunity, indicating that the company may unlock potential value through asset restructuring or strategic adjustments, attracting investor interest.
- Quant Rating Insight: Seeking Alpha's quant rating on Genworth Financial reflects a cautiously optimistic market outlook for its future performance, suggesting that while current financial data shows no significant growth, potential value re-evaluation could present opportunities for investors.
See More
Forget Arizona and Florida: These States Could Be the Top Choices for a Healthy Retirement.
- Retirement Rankings: Florida and Arizona are frequently recognized as top destinations for retirement in the U.S.
- Attractive Features: The states offer appealing factors such as abundant sunshine, low taxes, and affordable housing options.
- Recreational Activities: Access to recreational activities, particularly pickleball, enhances their attractiveness for retirees.
- Overall Appeal: The combination of climate, financial benefits, and leisure activities makes these states popular among retirees.
See More
Explore the Details: FNCL Projected to Rise by 12%
ETF Performance Analysis: The Fidelity MSCI Financials Index ETF (FNCL) has an implied analyst target price of $84.77, indicating a potential upside of 12.48% from its current trading price of $75.37.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings such as Genworth Financial (GNW), Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB), and HCI Group Inc (HCI) show significant upside potential, with target prices exceeding their recent trading prices by 17.79%, 15.23%, and 14.09%, respectively.
Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high targets could lead to downgrades if they are based on outdated information.
Investor Research Importance: It emphasizes the need for further investor research to assess the validity of analyst targets in light of recent company and industry developments.
See More
