JPM Supports CHALCO/CHINAHONGQIAO, Predicts Strong Short-Term Performance for Coal and Aluminum
Market Reaction to Geopolitical Tensions: Chinese metal stocks experienced a sell-off due to risk-aversion stemming from the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran, while coal stocks performed well due to rising price expectations and low investor positions.
JPMorgan's Insights on Metal Stocks: JPMorgan remains optimistic about gold and copper stocks, recommending quality mining shares during market dips, with ZIJIN MINING identified as a top pick.
Coal Price Projections: The firm anticipates that geopolitical tensions will elevate coal prices in the short term, driven by increased demand as crude oil and natural gas prices rise, although sustainability depends on potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Aluminum Price Forecast: JPMorgan's global commodities team predicts that aluminum prices could surge towards USD4,000 per ton if significant supply disruptions occur, influenced by higher energy and freight costs.
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BofAS Adopts Neutral Stance on 2026 Chinese Coal Outlook, Increases Price Targets for Yankuang Energy and China Shenhua
BofA Securities' Coal Outlook: BofA Securities has turned neutral on China's coal market due to government controls mitigating weak demand, but recent weeks have seen increased supply risks.
Yankuang Energy Upgrade: The broker raised profit forecasts for Yankuang Energy by 29% for 2026 and 34% for 2027, increasing the target price from $11.5 to $17 and upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy.
China Shenhua Forecast Adjustment: BofA also lifted profit forecasts for China Shenhua by 10-12% for the same period, raising the target price from $43 to $50 and upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy.
Short Selling Data: As of March 4, 2026, Yankuang Energy and China Shenhua have significant short selling activity, with ratios of 28.005% and 40.898%, respectively.
JPM Supports CHALCO/CHINAHONGQIAO, Predicts Strong Short-Term Performance for Coal and Aluminum
Market Reaction to Geopolitical Tensions: Chinese metal stocks experienced a sell-off due to risk-aversion stemming from the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran, while coal stocks performed well due to rising price expectations and low investor positions.
JPMorgan's Insights on Metal Stocks: JPMorgan remains optimistic about gold and copper stocks, recommending quality mining shares during market dips, with ZIJIN MINING identified as a top pick.
Coal Price Projections: The firm anticipates that geopolitical tensions will elevate coal prices in the short term, driven by increased demand as crude oil and natural gas prices rise, although sustainability depends on potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Aluminum Price Forecast: JPMorgan's global commodities team predicts that aluminum prices could surge towards USD4,000 per ton if significant supply disruptions occur, influenced by higher energy and freight costs.
<Daily Summary> HSI Ends at 26,847, Gaining 12 Points; HSTI Finishes at 5,366, Dropping 100 Points; TENCENT Falls More Than 3%; XINYI GLASS, TECHTRONIC IND, CHINA RES MIXC, WHARF REIC, MTR CORPORATION Reach New Peaks; Market Turnover Increases
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose slightly by 12 points to close at 26,847, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) fell by 100 points and 4 points, respectively, with a total market turnover of $285.43 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Xiaomi, and Meituan experienced declines, with Tencent dropping 4% to close at $558, while other heavyweights also saw significant short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Trip.com saw a significant drop of 6.1%, while Xinyi Glass and China Shenhua recorded gains of 5.9% and 5.7%, respectively, with several stocks hitting new highs.
Short Selling Trends: Various stocks experienced notable short selling, with Techtronic Industries and China Resources Mixc among those hitting new highs, while others like Kingdee International and Meitu faced substantial declines.
Midday Update: HSI Ends at 26,724, Down 109 Points; HSTI at 5,347, Down 119 Points; TENCENT Falls Over 3%; XINYI GLASS, TECHTRONIC IND, WHARF REIC, YANKUANG ENERGY, and CHINA EAST AIR Reach New Highs
Market Performance: The HSI dropped 109 points (0.4%) to 26,724, while the HSTI fell 119 points (2.2%) to 5,347, and the HSCEI decreased by 48 points (0.5%) to 9,004.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like TENCENT, XIAOMI, and MEITUAN saw declines, with TENCENT down 3.4% and XIAOMI down 2.6%, while BABA fell 0.9%.
Notable Movers: XINYI GLASS and CHINA SHENHUA experienced significant gains, with XINYI GLASS up 6.2% and CHINA SHENHUA up 5.4%, while TRIP.COM-S dropped 6.1%.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, including XIAOMI (20.155%) and MEITUAN (17.261%), indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors.
YANKUANG ENERGY Rises Nearly 8% in Early Trading; Top Offer for Xintai Coal Equity Transfer Reaches RMB3.05B
Stock Performance: YANKUANG ENERGY's stock opened up 1.33% and peaked at HKD12.2, closing at HKD12.14, reflecting a 7.91% increase with a trading volume of 35.2239 million shares.
Short Selling Activity: The company experienced short selling worth $43.82 million, with a short selling ratio of 22.604%.
Subsidiary Sale: YANKUANG ENERGY transferred 100% equity interests in its subsidiary, Xintai Coal, through public listing, attracting interest from multiple prospective buyers.
Bidding Outcome: The highest bid for Xintai Coal during the listing period was RMB3.05 billion, as indicated by the online bidding trading system.
<Study> JPM Ratings and Price Targets for Gold Mining Companies (Table)
Stock Ratings Overview: Several companies in the mining and energy sectors received updated ratings, with ZIJIN MINING and CMOC rated as "Overweight," while JIANGXI COPPER was upgraded from "Underweight" to "Neutral."
Short Selling Activity: Notable short selling activity was reported for various stocks, including ZIJIN MINING and CHINAHONGQIAO, with short selling ratios indicating significant market interest.
Price Target Adjustments: Price targets for ZIJIN MINING and CMOC were raised, reflecting positive market sentiment, while JIANGXI COPPER's target was also increased, indicating a shift in investor outlook.
Market Performance: The overall market performance showed mixed results, with some stocks like GANFENG LITHIUM and TIANQI LITHIUM experiencing gains, while others like CHALCO and YANKUANG ENERGY faced declines.
BofAS Adopts Neutral Stance on 2026 Chinese Coal Outlook, Increases Price Targets for Yankuang Energy and China Shenhua
BofA Securities' Coal Outlook: BofA Securities has turned neutral on China's coal market due to government controls mitigating weak demand, but recent weeks have seen increased supply risks.
Yankuang Energy Upgrade: The broker raised profit forecasts for Yankuang Energy by 29% for 2026 and 34% for 2027, increasing the target price from $11.5 to $17 and upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy.
China Shenhua Forecast Adjustment: BofA also lifted profit forecasts for China Shenhua by 10-12% for the same period, raising the target price from $43 to $50 and upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy.
Short Selling Data: As of March 4, 2026, Yankuang Energy and China Shenhua have significant short selling activity, with ratios of 28.005% and 40.898%, respectively.
JPM Supports CHALCO/CHINAHONGQIAO, Predicts Strong Short-Term Performance for Coal and Aluminum
Market Reaction to Geopolitical Tensions: Chinese metal stocks experienced a sell-off due to risk-aversion stemming from the conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran, while coal stocks performed well due to rising price expectations and low investor positions.
JPMorgan's Insights on Metal Stocks: JPMorgan remains optimistic about gold and copper stocks, recommending quality mining shares during market dips, with ZIJIN MINING identified as a top pick.
Coal Price Projections: The firm anticipates that geopolitical tensions will elevate coal prices in the short term, driven by increased demand as crude oil and natural gas prices rise, although sustainability depends on potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Aluminum Price Forecast: JPMorgan's global commodities team predicts that aluminum prices could surge towards USD4,000 per ton if significant supply disruptions occur, influenced by higher energy and freight costs.
<Daily Summary> HSI Ends at 26,847, Gaining 12 Points; HSTI Finishes at 5,366, Dropping 100 Points; TENCENT Falls More Than 3%; XINYI GLASS, TECHTRONIC IND, CHINA RES MIXC, WHARF REIC, MTR CORPORATION Reach New Peaks; Market Turnover Increases
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose slightly by 12 points to close at 26,847, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) fell by 100 points and 4 points, respectively, with a total market turnover of $285.43 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Xiaomi, and Meituan experienced declines, with Tencent dropping 4% to close at $558, while other heavyweights also saw significant short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Trip.com saw a significant drop of 6.1%, while Xinyi Glass and China Shenhua recorded gains of 5.9% and 5.7%, respectively, with several stocks hitting new highs.
Short Selling Trends: Various stocks experienced notable short selling, with Techtronic Industries and China Resources Mixc among those hitting new highs, while others like Kingdee International and Meitu faced substantial declines.
Midday Update: HSI Ends at 26,724, Down 109 Points; HSTI at 5,347, Down 119 Points; TENCENT Falls Over 3%; XINYI GLASS, TECHTRONIC IND, WHARF REIC, YANKUANG ENERGY, and CHINA EAST AIR Reach New Highs
Market Performance: The HSI dropped 109 points (0.4%) to 26,724, while the HSTI fell 119 points (2.2%) to 5,347, and the HSCEI decreased by 48 points (0.5%) to 9,004.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like TENCENT, XIAOMI, and MEITUAN saw declines, with TENCENT down 3.4% and XIAOMI down 2.6%, while BABA fell 0.9%.
Notable Movers: XINYI GLASS and CHINA SHENHUA experienced significant gains, with XINYI GLASS up 6.2% and CHINA SHENHUA up 5.4%, while TRIP.COM-S dropped 6.1%.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, including XIAOMI (20.155%) and MEITUAN (17.261%), indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors.
YANKUANG ENERGY Rises Nearly 8% in Early Trading; Top Offer for Xintai Coal Equity Transfer Reaches RMB3.05B
Stock Performance: YANKUANG ENERGY's stock opened up 1.33% and peaked at HKD12.2, closing at HKD12.14, reflecting a 7.91% increase with a trading volume of 35.2239 million shares.
Short Selling Activity: The company experienced short selling worth $43.82 million, with a short selling ratio of 22.604%.
Subsidiary Sale: YANKUANG ENERGY transferred 100% equity interests in its subsidiary, Xintai Coal, through public listing, attracting interest from multiple prospective buyers.
Bidding Outcome: The highest bid for Xintai Coal during the listing period was RMB3.05 billion, as indicated by the online bidding trading system.
<Study> JPM Ratings and Price Targets for Gold Mining Companies (Table)
Stock Ratings Overview: Several companies in the mining and energy sectors received updated ratings, with ZIJIN MINING and CMOC rated as "Overweight," while JIANGXI COPPER was upgraded from "Underweight" to "Neutral."
Short Selling Activity: Notable short selling activity was reported for various stocks, including ZIJIN MINING and CHINAHONGQIAO, with short selling ratios indicating significant market interest.
Price Target Adjustments: Price targets for ZIJIN MINING and CMOC were raised, reflecting positive market sentiment, while JIANGXI COPPER's target was also increased, indicating a shift in investor outlook.
Market Performance: The overall market performance showed mixed results, with some stocks like GANFENG LITHIUM and TIANQI LITHIUM experiencing gains, while others like CHALCO and YANKUANG ENERGY faced declines.
